Plaza Colonia 57%Draw 23%Paysandu 19%Expected goals 1.54 – 0.75
81%
Betarazi pick
Plaza Colonia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Plaza Colonia to win @ 1.85 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPlaza Colonia to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chancePlaza Colonia or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.10
Plaza Colonia vs Paysandu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the Segunda División brings Plaza Colonia against Paysandu at Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Plaza Colonia are 4th, among the top four, on 38 points after 25 matches; Paysandu are 5th (upper half) with 35. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Plaza Colonia, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Rentistas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Paysandu, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to La Luz, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Plaza Colonia, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Paysandu.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended Paysandu 1–2 Plaza Colonia. The last 2 head-to-heads: Plaza Colonia 1 win, Paysandu 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Plaza Colonia 1.5 xG, Paysandu 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Plaza Colonia 57%, draw 23%, Paysandu 19%.
Lower-risk option: Plaza Colonia or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Plaza Colonia to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Plaza Colonia or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Plaza Colonia 1–0 Paysandu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Plaza Colonia57%fair 1.74 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Paysandu19%fair 5.17 · @4.00
2.29Expected goals
1.54Plaza Colonia xG
0.75Paysandu xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Plaza Colonia 1.5 – 0.7 Paysandu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia vs Paysandu?
Our pick is Plaza Colonia or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Plaza Colonia vs Paysandu?
On our numbers Plaza Colonia have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paysandu 19%.
How many goals will there be in Plaza Colonia vs Paysandu?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plaza Colonia vs Paysandu?
Our predicted score is Plaza Colonia 1–0 Paysandu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Plaza Colonia vs Paysandu?
Plaza Colonia vs Paysandu (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
