ES Zarzis 43%Draw 11%Réal Bamako 46%Expected goals 0.97 – 1.03
86%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultRéal Bamako to win ✓46% · fair 2.17
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.18
ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
ES Zarzis welcome Réal Bamako to Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium for a CAF Confederation Cup fixture on Saturday 17 October (15:30 WAT).
Current form
ES Zarzis, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over ES Hammam-Sousse, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Réal Bamako, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vitesse, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Réal Bamako, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for ES Zarzis.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ES Zarzis 1.0 xG, Réal Bamako 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ES Zarzis 43%, draw 11%, Réal Bamako 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (86%). Most likely score in line with that pick: ES Zarzis 0–1 Réal Bamako. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ES Zarzis43%fair 2.33
Draw11%fair 9.09
Réal Bamako46%fair 2.17
2.00Expected goals
0.97ES Zarzis xG
1.03Réal Bamako xG
41%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: ES Zarzis 1.0 – 1.0 Réal Bamako expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Réal Bamako to win✓
46%
2.17
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Draw no bet
Réal Bamako (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
ES Zarzis +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Réal Bamako to score first✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.18
–
Recent results
ES Zarzis – last 6
WLLLWL
11 Oct
vs ES Hammam-Sousse
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Club Africain
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs US Monastirienne
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Diambars
0–1
L
4 Sep
vs Diambars
3–1
W
29 Aug
@ CS Sfaxien
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Réal Bamako – last 6
DWWWDL
11 Sep
vs Vitesse
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Vitesse
2–1
W
13 Jun
vs US Bougouba
4–0
W
9 Jun
@ Djoliba
1–0
W
5 Jun
vs Afrique Football Élite
0–0
D
31 May
@ ASKO
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ES Zarzis and Réal Bamako.
What is the prediction for ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 86% chance.
Who will win ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako?
On our numbers ES Zarzis have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Réal Bamako 46%.
How many goals will there be in ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako?
Our predicted score is ES Zarzis 0–1 Réal Bamako, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako?
ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako (CAF Confederation Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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