Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultBury to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceBury or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 14.37
Bury vs Gainsborough Trinity: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bury welcome Gainsborough Trinity to Gigg Lane for a FA Trophy fixture on Saturday 26 September (15:00 WAT).
Current form
Bury, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Workington, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. 4.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gainsborough Trinity, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Leamington, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Gainsborough Trinity 0–1 Bury.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bury 2.1 xG, Gainsborough Trinity 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bury 62%, draw 21%, Gainsborough Trinity 17%.
Lower-risk option: Bury or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bury to win (62%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bury 2–0 Gainsborough Trinity. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bury62%fair 1.61 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.75
Gainsborough Trinity17%fair 5.97 · @3.80
3.06Expected goals
2.07Bury xG
0.99Gainsborough Trinity xG
48%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Bury 2.1 – 1.0 Gainsborough Trinity expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bury vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Our pick is Bury to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Bury vs Gainsborough Trinity?
On our numbers Bury have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gainsborough Trinity 17%.
How many goals will there be in Bury vs Gainsborough Trinity?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bury vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Our predicted score is Bury 2–0 Gainsborough Trinity, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Bury vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Bury vs Gainsborough Trinity (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gigg Lane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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