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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leiston v Dartford: numbers & prediction

FA Trophy · England

Leiston

LWWDL
0–3
FT

Dartford

WWWDW
Leiston 25%Draw 50%Dartford 25% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.45
75%
Betarazi pick

Leiston or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.44Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.60 – our chance 50% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +79%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗50% · @3.60
Double chanceLeiston or draw ✗75% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 16.48

Leiston vs Dartford: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Leiston welcome Dartford for a FA Trophy fixture on Saturday 26 September (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Leiston, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Peterborough Sports, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Dartford, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Hayes & Yeading United, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leiston 1.4 xG, Dartford 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leiston 25%, draw 50%, Dartford 25%.
  • Lower-risk option: Leiston or draw (75%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Leiston or draw (75%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.34, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leiston 1–1 Dartford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leiston25%fair 3.98 · @2.40
Draw50%fair 2.01 · @3.60
Dartford25%fair 3.98 · @2.40
2.89Expected goals
1.45Leiston xG
1.45Dartford xG
51%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: Leiston 1.4 – 1.4 Dartford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✗50%2.013.60 ▲
Double chanceLeiston or draw ✗75%1.341.44 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.97–
Draw no betLeiston (draw no bet) ✗50%2.00–
Asian handicapLeiston +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreDartford to score first ✓47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dartford / FT Dartford ✓22%4.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6%16.48–

Recent results

Leiston – last 6

LWWDLW
22 Sepvs Peterborough Sports0–2L
19 Sep@ Hitchin Town2–1W
12 Sep@ Banbury United2–1W
5 Sep@ Grays Athletic0–0D
31 Aug@ Bury Town3–4L
29 Augvs Redditch United3–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Dartford – last 6

WWWDWL
19 Sepvs Hayes & Yeading United4–2W
15 Sep@ Enfield Town2–0W
12 Sep@ Carshalton Athletic3–0W
5 Sep@ Westfield (Surrey)1–1D
31 Augvs Chatham Town1–0W
28 Aug@ Burgess Hill Town1–2L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Leiston and Dartford.

Leiston vs Dartford head-to-head page →

More FA Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Alfreton Town2 Shifnal Town FC1 165%1.53X22%4.00213%4.75 2.7–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.44 ✓
FT Bedworth United0 Redditch United1 122%3.30X16%3.60262%1.85 0.9–1.8xG 2Redditch United to win 62%@1.85 ✓
FT Bury3 Gainsborough Trinity3 Pens 162%1.73X21%3.75217%3.80 2.1–1.0xG 1Bury to win 62%@1.73 ✗
FT Cleethorpes Town5 Lancaster City1 164%1.80X21%3.50215%3.70 2.2–1.0xG 1XCleethorpes Town or draw 85%@1.22 ✓
FT Hallam1 Prescot Cables1 Pens 115%5.00X19%4.00265%1.50 1.3–2.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✗
FT Hyde United2 United of Manchester0 156%1.80X25%3.50219%3.60 2.0–1.1xG 1XHyde United or draw 81%@1.22 ✓
FT Moneyfields1 Wimborne Town3 114%3.60X22%3.50263%1.80 1.1–2.3xG X2Wimborne Town or draw 86%@1.22 ✓
FT Peterborough Sports1 Banbury United3 160%1.80X20%3.50219%3.60 1.9–1.0xG 1XPeterborough Sports or draw 81%@1.22 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leiston vs Dartford?

Our pick is Leiston or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Leiston vs Dartford?

On our numbers Leiston have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 50% and Dartford 25%.

How many goals will there be in Leiston vs Dartford?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leiston vs Dartford?

Our predicted score is Leiston 1–1 Dartford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Leiston vs Dartford?

Leiston vs Dartford (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.