Cleethorpes Town 64%Draw 21%Lancaster City 15%Expected goals 2.17 – 0.97
85%
Betarazi pick
Cleethorpes Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cleethorpes Town to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCleethorpes Town to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceCleethorpes Town or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Cleethorpes Town vs Lancaster City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Cleethorpes Town v Lancaster City in the FA Trophy.
Current form
Cleethorpes Town, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Redcar Athletic, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lancaster City, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bradford (Park Avenue), away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Cleethorpes Town, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Lancaster City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cleethorpes Town 2.2 xG, Lancaster City 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cleethorpes Town 64%, draw 21%, Lancaster City 15%.
Lower-risk option: Cleethorpes Town or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Cleethorpes Town to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cleethorpes Town or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cleethorpes Town 2–0 Lancaster City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cleethorpes Town64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Lancaster City15%fair 6.76 · @3.70
3.15Expected goals
2.17Cleethorpes Town xG
0.97Lancaster City xG
52%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cleethorpes Town 2.2 – 1.0 Lancaster City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cleethorpes Town to win✓
64%
1.57
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Cleethorpes Town or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Cleethorpes Town (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Cleethorpes Town -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Cleethorpes Town to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Cleethorpes Town ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cleethorpes Town / FT Cleethorpes Town✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Cleethorpes Town – last 6
DWLWLW
22 Sep
vs Redcar Athletic
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Ashton United
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Newcastle Town
1–2
L
31 Aug
@ Gainsborough Trinity
3–0
W
28 Aug
vs Curzon Ashton
1–3
L
25 Aug
vs Whitby Town
6–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lancaster City – last 6
LLDLWW
19 Sep
@ Bradford (Park Avenue)
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Curzon Ashton
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Tadcaster Albion
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs Workington
0–3
L
28 Aug
@ Guiseley AFC
2–1
W
25 Aug
@ Bury
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cleethorpes Town and Lancaster City.
What is the prediction for Cleethorpes Town vs Lancaster City?
Our pick is Cleethorpes Town or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cleethorpes Town vs Lancaster City?
On our numbers Cleethorpes Town have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lancaster City 15%.
How many goals will there be in Cleethorpes Town vs Lancaster City?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cleethorpes Town vs Lancaster City?
Our predicted score is Cleethorpes Town 2–0 Lancaster City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Cleethorpes Town vs Lancaster City?
Cleethorpes Town vs Lancaster City (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Alfreton Town2
Shifnal Town FC1
Bedworth United0
Redditch United1
Bury3
Gainsborough Trinity3
Hallam1
Prescot Cables1
Hyde United2
United of Manchester0
Leiston0
Dartford3
Moneyfields1
Wimborne Town3
Peterborough Sports1
Banbury United3