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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Maldonado v Juventud: numbers & prediction

2–0
FT
Deportivo Maldonado 62%Draw 22%Juventud 16% Expected goals 1.62 – 0.65
62%
Betarazi pick

Deportivo Maldonado to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Maldonado to win ✓62% · @1.67
Double chanceDeportivo Maldonado or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35

Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:30 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Deportivo Maldonado v Juventud in the Primera División Apertura. In the table, Deportivo Maldonado are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 13 matches; Juventud are 8th (upper half) with 18.

Current form

Deportivo Maldonado, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Defensor Sporting, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Juventud, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Racing Montevideo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Juventud 2–0 Deportivo Maldonado. The last 3 head-to-heads: Deportivo Maldonado 1 win, Juventud 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Maldonado 1.6 xG, Juventud 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Maldonado 62%, draw 22%, Juventud 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Deportivo Maldonado or draw (84%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Deportivo Maldonado to win (62%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Maldonado 1–0 Juventud. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Maldonado62%fair 1.61 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.50
Juventud16%fair 6.25 · @5.00
2.27Expected goals
1.62Deportivo Maldonado xG
0.65Juventud xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%

From our goals model: Deportivo Maldonado 1.6 – 0.6 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Maldonado to win ✓62%1.611.67
Double chanceDeportivo Maldonado or draw ✓84%1.191.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.991.95
Draw no betDeportivo Maldonado (draw no bet) ✓80%1.26–
Asian handicapDeportivo Maldonado -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreDeportivo Maldonado to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Maldonado / FT Deportivo Maldonado ✓37%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.35–

Recent results

Deportivo Maldonado – last 6

LWWWLD
13 Sep@ Defensor Sporting0–1L
10 Sepvs Wanderers4–1W
5 Sepvs Wanderers2–0W
2 Sep@ Cerrito2–0W
29 Aug@ Juventud0–2L
22 Augvs Penarol0–0D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Juventud – last 6

WDDLWW
17 Sepvs Racing Montevideo3–0W
13 Sepvs Danubio1–1D
6 Sep@ Club Nacional2–2D
2 Sep@ Central Espanol0–3L
29 Augvs Deportivo Maldonado2–0W
26 Augvs Oriental1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Aug 2026Juventud v Deportivo Maldonado2–0
1 Aug 2026Deportivo Maldonado v Juventud0–0
3 Mar 2026Deportivo Maldonado v Juventud2–1
Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud?

Our pick is Deportivo Maldonado to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud?

On our numbers Deportivo Maldonado have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Juventud 16%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Maldonado 1–0 Juventud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud?

Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.