Universidad Catolica 61%Draw 25%Aucas 14%Expected goals 1.66 – 0.65
86%
Betarazi pick
Universidad Catolica or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Universidad Catolica to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUniversidad Catolica to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✗86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.08
Universidad Catolica vs Aucas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Universidad Catolica welcome Aucas for a Liga Pro fixture on Sunday 1 November (17:00 WAT). In the table, Universidad Catolica are 3rd on 54 points after 36 matches; Aucas are 5th with 54. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Universidad Catolica, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with LDU de Quito, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Aucas, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Barcelona SC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Universidad Catolica, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Aucas.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Sep 2026) it ended Universidad Catolica 1–1 Aucas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Universidad Catolica 1.7 xG, Aucas 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Universidad Catolica 61%, draw 25%, Aucas 14%.
Lower-risk option: Universidad Catolica or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Universidad Catolica to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Universidad Catolica or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universidad Catolica 1–0 Aucas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Universidad Catolica61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.10
Aucas14%fair 7.31 · @4.00
2.31Expected goals
1.66Universidad Catolica xG
0.65Aucas xG
48%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 1.7 – 0.7 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win✗
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Universidad Catolica or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Draw no bet
Universidad Catolica (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Universidad Catolica -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Universidad Catolica to score first
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica✗
What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
Our pick is Universidad Catolica or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aucas 14%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 1–0 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
Universidad Catolica vs Aucas (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
