Guayaquil City FC 60%Draw 22%Libertad 17%Expected goals 1.66 – 0.74
83%
Betarazi pick
Guayaquil City FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Guayaquil City FC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGuayaquil City FC to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceGuayaquil City FC or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81
Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Libertad travel to face Guayaquil City FC on Sunday 1 November in the Liga Pro – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Guayaquil City FC are 8th on 48 points after 36 matches; Libertad are 7th with 51. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Guayaquil City FC, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Emelec, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Libertad, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Leones del Norte, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Oct 2026) it ended Libertad 4–0 Guayaquil City FC. The last 3 head-to-heads: Guayaquil City FC 1 win, Libertad 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guayaquil City FC 1.7 xG, Libertad 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guayaquil City FC 60%, draw 22%, Libertad 17%.
Lower-risk option: Guayaquil City FC or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Guayaquil City FC to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Guayaquil City FC or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guayaquil City FC 1–0 Libertad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guayaquil City FC60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.00
Libertad17%fair 5.80 · @3.70
2.40Expected goals
1.66Guayaquil City FC xG
0.74Libertad xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Guayaquil City FC 1.7 – 0.7 Libertad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
Our pick is Guayaquil City FC or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
On our numbers Guayaquil City FC have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Libertad 17%.
How many goals will there be in Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
Our predicted score is Guayaquil City FC 1–0 Libertad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
