Value bet: Mushuc Runa SC to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Cuenca to win ✗38% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.30
Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Liga Pro brings Deportivo Cuenca against Mushuc Runa SC at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Cuenca are 11th on 47 points after 36 matches; Mushuc Runa SC are 12th with 43.
Current form
Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with LDU de Quito, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Mushuc Runa SC, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Guayaquil City FC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Deportivo Cuenca 0–0 Mushuc Runa SC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Cuenca 1.1 xG, Mushuc Runa SC 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Cuenca 38%, draw 25%, Mushuc Runa SC 37%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Mushuc Runa SC to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.86, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Mushuc Runa SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Cuenca38%fair 2.66 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.75
Mushuc Runa SC37%fair 2.67 · @2.90
2.25Expected goals
1.13Deportivo Cuenca xG
1.12Mushuc Runa SC xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.1 – 1.1 Mushuc Runa SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?
On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mushuc Runa SC 37%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Mushuc Runa SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
