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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Guayaquil City FC v Leones del Norte: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador
Guayaquil City FC 43%Draw 25%Leones del Norte 33% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.00
52%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.92 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultGuayaquil City FC to win ✗43% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.57

Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Guayaquil City FC welcome Leones del Norte for a Liga Pro fixture on Sunday 20 September (21:00 WAT). In the table, Guayaquil City FC are 8th on 48 points after 36 matches; Leones del Norte are 9th with 47. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Guayaquil City FC, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Mushuc Runa SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Leones del Norte, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tecnico Universitario, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Guayaquil City FC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Leones del Norte.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Jul 2026) it ended Leones del Norte 1–1 Guayaquil City FC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Guayaquil City FC 0 wins, Leones del Norte 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guayaquil City FC 1.2 xG, Leones del Norte 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Guayaquil City FC 43%, draw 25%, Leones del Norte 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guayaquil City FC 1–1 Leones del Norte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guayaquil City FC43%fair 2.35 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.80
Leones del Norte33%fair 3.04 · @2.90
2.20Expected goals
1.20Guayaquil City FC xG
1.00Leones del Norte xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Guayaquil City FC 1.2 – 1.0 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGuayaquil City FC to win ✗43%2.352.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.921.91
Draw no betGuayaquil City FC (draw no bet)56%1.77–
Asian handicapLeones del Norte +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreGuayaquil City FC to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Guayaquil City FC / FT Guayaquil City FC ✗23%4.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.57–

Recent results

Guayaquil City FC – last 6

WLLWWD
12 Sepvs Mushuc Runa SC3–1W
8 Sep@ Orense SC3–4L
2 Sep@ Deportivo Cuenca0–1L
29 Augvs LDU de Quito2–1W
22 Aug@ Tecnico Universitario3–2W
15 Augvs Libertad2–2D
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Leones del Norte – last 6

LDWLLW
13 Sepvs Tecnico Universitario0–1L
8 Sep@ Mushuc Runa SC1–1D
3 Sepvs Orense SC1–0W
31 Aug@ Emelec1–2L
22 Augvs Independiente del Valle2–3L
15 Aug@ Manta FC2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026Leones del Norte v Guayaquil City FC1–1
23 Mar 2026Guayaquil City FC v Leones del Norte0–0
Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte?

On our numbers Guayaquil City FC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leones del Norte 33%.

How many goals will there be in Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte?

Our predicted score is Guayaquil City FC 1–1 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte?

Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.