Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultEmelec to win ✗65% · @1.67
Double chanceEmelec or draw ✗86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.21
Emelec vs Libertad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Libertad travel to face Emelec on Sunday 20 September in the Liga Pro, with Estadio George Capwell the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Emelec are 10th on 45 points after 36 matches; Libertad are 7th with 51.
Current form
Emelec, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Macara, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Libertad, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Independiente del Valle, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Sep 2026) it ended Libertad 1–1 Emelec.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Emelec 1.6 xG, Libertad 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Emelec 65%, draw 21%, Libertad 14%.
Lower-risk option: Emelec or draw (86%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Emelec to win (65%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emelec 1–0 Libertad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Emelec65%fair 1.54 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.25
Libertad14%fair 6.92 · @4.80
2.10Expected goals
1.57Emelec xG
0.53Libertad xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Emelec 1.6 – 0.5 Libertad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Emelec to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Emelec vs Libertad?
On our numbers Emelec have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Libertad 14%.
How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Libertad?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Libertad?
Our predicted score is Emelec 1–0 Libertad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Emelec vs Libertad?
Emelec vs Libertad (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
