Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultLibertas to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.34
Cailungo vs Libertas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Libertas travel to face Cailungo on Friday 9 October in the Campionato – the ball rolls at 20:15 WAT. In the table, Cailungo are 12th, lower half, on 6 points after 8 matches; Libertas are 9th (lower half) with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cailungo, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over San Giovanni, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Libertas, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Faetano, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cailungo 0.8 xG, Libertas 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cailungo 23%, draw 15%, Libertas 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Libertas to win (62%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cailungo 0–1 Libertas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cailungo23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Draw15%fair 6.48 · @3.50
Libertas62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
2.52Expected goals
0.83Cailungo xG
1.69Libertas xG
44%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Cailungo 0.8 – 1.7 Libertas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertas to win✓
62%
1.61
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Libertas (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Cailungo +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Libertas to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertas / FT Libertas✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.34
–
Recent results
Cailungo – last 6
WLLLLL
20 Sep
@ San Giovanni
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Tre Penne
0–2
L
9 Sep
@ Pennarossa
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Folgore
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Domagnano
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Virtus
1–6
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Libertas – last 6
DLLWDL
18 Sep
vs Faetano
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Virtus
0–2
L
9 Sep
vs Folgore
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Juvenes Dogana
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Cosmos
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Virtus
0–9
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cailungo and Libertas.
Our pick is Libertas to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Cailungo vs Libertas?
On our numbers Cailungo have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Libertas 62%.
How many goals will there be in Cailungo vs Libertas?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cailungo vs Libertas?
Our predicted score is Cailungo 0–1 Libertas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cailungo vs Libertas?
Cailungo vs Libertas (Campionato) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
