Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.96
Pennarossa vs Folgore: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Folgore travel to face Pennarossa on Friday 9 October in the Campionato – the ball rolls at 20:15 WAT. In the table, Pennarossa are 13th, lower half, on 5 points after 8 matches; Folgore are 1st (leading the league) with 22. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pennarossa, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Fiorentino, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Folgore, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over San Marino Academy, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Folgore, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Pennarossa.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Pennarossa 2–3 Folgore.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pennarossa 1.0 xG, Folgore 2.7 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pennarossa 11%, draw 18%, Folgore 71%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Folgore to win (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pennarossa 1–2 Folgore. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pennarossa11%fair 9.32 · @7.00
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @5.00
Folgore71%fair 1.40 · @1.30
3.65Expected goals
1.00Pennarossa xG
2.65Folgore xG
54%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
0–38%
1–17%
0–17%
From our goals model: Pennarossa 1.0 – 2.7 Folgore expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Folgore to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Pennarossa vs Folgore?
On our numbers Pennarossa have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Folgore 71%.
How many goals will there be in Pennarossa vs Folgore?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pennarossa vs Folgore?
Our predicted score is Pennarossa 1–2 Folgore, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Pennarossa vs Folgore?
Pennarossa vs Folgore (Campionato) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
