La Fiorita 77%Draw 17%Murata 6%Expected goals 2.47 – 0.62
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultLa Fiorita to win ✓77% · @1.11
Double chanceLa Fiorita or draw ✓94% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓11% · fair 8.75
La Fiorita vs Murata: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
La Fiorita welcome Murata for a Campionato fixture on Friday 9 October (20:15 WAT). In the table, La Fiorita are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 8 matches; Murata are 14th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
La Fiorita, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Domagnano, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Murata, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cosmos, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours La Fiorita, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Murata.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give La Fiorita 2.5 xG, Murata 0.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – La Fiorita 77%, draw 17%, Murata 6%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: La Fiorita 3–0 Murata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
La Fiorita77%fair 1.30 · @1.11
Draw17%fair 5.80 · @8.00
Murata6%fair 16.54 · @15.00
3.09Expected goals
2.47La Fiorita xG
0.62Murata xG
45%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
3–011%
1–011%
2–19%
3–17%
4–07%
From our goals model: La Fiorita 2.5 – 0.6 Murata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Fiorita to win✓
77%
1.30
1.11
Double chance
La Fiorita or draw✓
94%
1.06
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
La Fiorita (draw no bet)✓
93%
1.08
–
Asian handicap
La Fiorita -1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
La Fiorita to score first✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
La Fiorita ahead at half-time✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Fiorita / FT La Fiorita✗
54%
1.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✓
11%
8.75
–
Recent results
La Fiorita – last 6
WDDDLL
19 Sep
@ Domagnano
2–1
W
11 Sep
@ Fiorentino
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs San Marino Academy
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Virtus
0–0
D
14 Jul
vs UNA Strassen
0–2
L
7 Jul
@ UNA Strassen
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Murata – last 6
LLLWLL
18 Sep
vs Cosmos
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs San Giovanni
0–2
L
9 Sep
vs Virtus
0–3
L
6 Sep
@ Pennarossa
4–1
W
28 Aug
@ Folgore
0–5
L
26 Apr
@ Juvenes Dogana
2–5
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between La Fiorita and Murata.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win La Fiorita vs Murata?
On our numbers La Fiorita have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Murata 6%.
How many goals will there be in La Fiorita vs Murata?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Fiorita vs Murata?
Our predicted score is La Fiorita 3–0 Murata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is La Fiorita vs Murata?
La Fiorita vs Murata (Campionato) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
