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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juvenes Dogana v Virtus: numbers & prediction

Campionato · San-Marino
0–1
FT

Virtus

WWWWW
Juvenes Dogana 9%Draw 18%Virtus 73% Expected goals 0.60 – 2.15
73%
Betarazi pick

Virtus to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.27Odds

Picks by market

ResultVirtus to win ✓73% · @1.27
Double chanceVirtus or draw ✓91% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗11% · fair 9.46

Juvenes Dogana vs Virtus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:15 WAT, Friday 23 October: Juvenes Dogana v Virtus in the Campionato. In the table, Juvenes Dogana are 11th, lower half, on 7 points after 8 matches; Virtus are 3rd (among the top four) with 19. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Juvenes Dogana, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cosmos, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Virtus, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over San Marino Academy, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Virtus, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.5 for Juvenes Dogana.

Head to head

When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Juvenes Dogana 0–2 Virtus. The last 3 head-to-heads: Juvenes Dogana 0 wins, Virtus 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.3 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juvenes Dogana 0.6 xG, Virtus 2.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 42%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juvenes Dogana 9%, draw 18%, Virtus 73%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Virtus to win (73%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juvenes Dogana 0–2 Virtus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juvenes Dogana9%fair 11.23 · @8.00
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @5.00
Virtus73%fair 1.37 · @1.27
2.75Expected goals
0.60Juvenes Dogana xG
2.15Virtus xG
42%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–215%
0–114%
0–311%
1–29%
1–18%
0–06%

From our goals model: Juvenes Dogana 0.6 – 2.1 Virtus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVirtus to win ✓73%1.371.27
Double chanceVirtus or draw ✓91%1.101.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓58%1.74–
Draw no betVirtus (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapVirtus -1 (Asian handicap)64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.871.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreVirtus to score first ✓73%1.37–
Half-time resultVirtus ahead at half-time ✗52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Virtus / FT Virtus ✗49%2.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗11%9.46–

Recent results

Juvenes Dogana – last 6

LLLLLW
11 Oct@ Cosmos0–1L
20 Sep@ Tre Penne0–2L
13 Sepvs Folgore1–2L
8 Sep@ Tre Penne1–2L
5 Sep@ Libertas1–2L
28 Augvs Faetano4–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Virtus – last 6

WWWWWD
11 Octvs San Marino Academy5–0W
18 Sep@ Tre Fiori3–2W
12 Sepvs Libertas2–0W
9 Sep@ Murata3–0W
4 Sep@ Fiorentino1–0W
30 Augvs La Fiorita0–0D
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 May 2026Juvenes Dogana v Virtus0–2
3 May 2026Virtus v Juvenes Dogana0–0
8 Mar 2026Virtus v Juvenes Dogana2–0
Juvenes Dogana vs Virtus head-to-head page →

Campionato table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore8710+1622
2Tre Penne8620+1220
3Virtus8611+919
4Tre Fiori8521+1117
5Cosmos8512+1116
6La Fiorita8440+616
7Domagnano8314010
8Fiorentino8233+39
9Libertas8233-29
10San Giovanni8224-68
11Juvenes / Dogana8215-17
12Cailungo8134-26
13Pennarossa8125-145
14Murata8116-134
15San Marino Academy8044-134
16Faetano8035-173

More Campionato predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juvenes Dogana vs Virtus?

Our pick is Virtus to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.

Who will win Juvenes Dogana vs Virtus?

On our numbers Juvenes Dogana have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Virtus 73%.

How many goals will there be in Juvenes Dogana vs Virtus?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juvenes Dogana vs Virtus?

Our predicted score is Juvenes Dogana 0–2 Virtus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Juvenes Dogana vs Virtus?

Juvenes Dogana vs Virtus (Campionato) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.