Pennarossa 39%Draw 21%San Giovanni 40%Expected goals 1.80 – 1.82
62%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultSan Giovanni to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62% · @1.75
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.55
Pennarossa vs San Giovanni: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Giovanni travel to face Pennarossa on Friday 23 October in the Campionato – the ball rolls at 20:15 WAT. In the table, Pennarossa are 13th, lower half, on 5 points after 8 matches; San Giovanni are 10th (lower half) with 8. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pennarossa, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Folgore, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 3.5 conceded per game.
San Giovanni, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tre Fiori, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Pennarossa, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for San Giovanni.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pennarossa 1.8 xG, San Giovanni 1.8 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pennarossa 39%, draw 21%, San Giovanni 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pennarossa 1–2 San Giovanni. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pennarossa39%fair 2.55 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
San Giovanni40%fair 2.52 · @2.70
3.62Expected goals
1.80Pennarossa xG
1.82San Giovanni xG
55%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Pennarossa 1.8 – 1.8 San Giovanni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Giovanni to win✗
40%
2.52
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
San Giovanni (draw no bet)
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Pennarossa +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
First team to score
San Giovanni to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
35%
2.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Giovanni / FT San Giovanni✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.55
–
Recent results
Pennarossa – last 6
LWLWLL
9 Oct
vs Folgore
1–5
L
19 Sep
vs Fiorentino
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Cosmos
1–6
L
9 Sep
vs Cailungo
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Murata
1–4
L
30 Aug
@ Tre Fiori
2–5
L
1.8Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
San Giovanni – last 6
LLWLLL
10 Oct
vs Tre Fiori
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Cailungo
0–3
L
12 Sep
@ Murata
2–0
W
8 Sep
vs Cosmos
0–1
L
4 Sep
@ Domagnano
0–4
L
29 Aug
vs Tre Penne
2–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pennarossa and San Giovanni.
What is the prediction for Pennarossa vs San Giovanni?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Pennarossa vs San Giovanni?
On our numbers Pennarossa have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and San Giovanni 40%.
How many goals will there be in Pennarossa vs San Giovanni?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pennarossa vs San Giovanni?
Our predicted score is Pennarossa 1–2 San Giovanni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Pennarossa vs San Giovanni?
Pennarossa vs San Giovanni (Campionato) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
