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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tre Penne v Tre Fiori: numbers & prediction

Campionato · San-Marino
0–0
FT
Tre Penne 46%Draw 22%Tre Fiori 33% Expected goals 1.62 – 1.32
52%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.93 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultTre Penne to win ✗46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93

Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tre Fiori travel to face Tre Penne on Friday 23 October in the Campionato – the ball rolls at 20:15 WAT. In the table, Tre Penne are 2nd, among the top four, on 20 points after 8 matches; Tre Fiori are 4th (among the top four) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Tre Penne, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Domagnano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Tre Fiori, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Giovanni, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Tre Penne, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.5 for Tre Fiori.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Tre Fiori 0–2 Tre Penne.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tre Penne 1.6 xG, Tre Fiori 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tre Penne 46%, draw 22%, Tre Fiori 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (52%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.93, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tre Penne 2–1 Tre Fiori. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tre Penne46%fair 2.19 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Tre Fiori33%fair 3.06 · @2.90
2.93Expected goals
1.62Tre Penne xG
1.32Tre Fiori xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Tre Penne 1.6 – 1.3 Tre Fiori expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTre Penne to win ✗46%2.192.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.95–
Draw no betTre Penne (draw no bet)58%1.71–
Asian handicapTre Fiori +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.932.00
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreTre Penne to score first ✗52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tre Penne / FT Tre Penne ✗27%3.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.93–

Recent results

Tre Penne – last 6

WWWWWW
11 Oct@ Domagnano2–0W
20 Sepvs Juvenes Dogana2–0W
12 Sep@ Cailungo2–0W
8 Sepvs Juvenes Dogana2–1W
4 Sepvs Cosmos2–0W
29 Aug@ San Giovanni3–2W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Tre Fiori – last 6

WLWWWW
10 Oct@ San Giovanni1–0W
18 Sepvs Virtus2–3L
11 Sepvs Domagnano3–0W
8 Sep@ Fiorentino1–0W
4 Sep@ Faetano4–0W
30 Augvs Pennarossa5–2W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Tre Fiori v Tre Penne0–2
Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori head-to-head page →

Campionato table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore8710+1622
2Tre Penne8620+1220
3Virtus8611+919
4Tre Fiori8521+1117
5Cosmos8512+1116
6La Fiorita8440+616
7Domagnano8314010
8Fiorentino8233+39
9Libertas8233-29
10San Giovanni8224-68
11Juvenes / Dogana8215-17
12Cailungo8134-26
13Pennarossa8125-145
14Murata8116-134
15San Marino Academy8044-134
16Faetano8035-173

More Campionato predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori?

On our numbers Tre Penne have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tre Fiori 33%.

How many goals will there be in Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori?

Our predicted score is Tre Penne 2–1 Tre Fiori, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori?

Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori (Campionato) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.