Wednesday 11 November 2026 15 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Curaçao v Nicaragua: numbers & prediction

CONCACAF Nations League · North & Central America · Ergilio Hato Stadium

Curaçao

WLDLW
6–1
FT

Nicaragua

LLDL
Curaçao 71%Draw 19%Nicaragua 10% Expected goals 4.06 – 1.94
71%
Betarazi pick

Curaçao to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.83 – our chance 65% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCuraçao to win ✓71% · @1.36
Double chanceCuraçao or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.83
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 4–1 ✗5% · fair 18.36

Curaçao vs Nicaragua: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nicaragua travel to face Curaçao on Monday 28 September in the CONCACAF Nations League, with Ergilio Hato Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.

Current form

Curaçao, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Costa Rica, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Nicaragua, last 4: LLDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Dominican Republic, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Curaçao, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Nicaragua.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Curaçao 4.1 xG, Nicaragua 1.9 xG – a total near 6.0. That is an open game on paper: 94% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Curaçao 71%, draw 19%, Nicaragua 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 65%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Curaçao to win (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Curaçao 4–1 Nicaragua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Curaçao71%fair 1.41 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @4.40
Nicaragua10%fair 10.13 · @7.50
6.00Expected goals
4.06Curaçao xG
1.94Nicaragua xG
65%Both score
94%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

4–15%
3–15%
4–25%
3–25%
5–14%
5–24%

From our goals model: Curaçao 4.1 – 1.9 Nicaragua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCuraçao to win ✓71%1.411.36
Double chanceCuraçao or draw ✓90%1.111.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.83 ▲
Draw no betCuraçao (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapCuraçao -1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
First team to scoreCuraçao to score first ✓68%1.48–
Half-time resultCuraçao ahead at half-time ✓59%1.69–
Half-time / full-timeHT Curaçao / FT Curaçao ✓53%1.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 4–1 ✗5%18.36–

Recent results

Curaçao – last 6

WLDLWL
25 Sep@ Costa Rica4–3W
25 Junvs Ivory Coast0–2L
21 Jun@ Ecuador0–0D
14 Jun@ Germany1–7L
7 Junvs Aruba4–0W
30 May@ Scotland1–4L
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nicaragua – last 4

LLDL
25 Sep@ Dominican Republic2–3L
5 Jun@ Paraguay0–4L
29 May@ South Africa0–0D
27 Mar@ Russia1–3L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Curaçao and Nicaragua.

Curaçao vs Nicaragua head-to-head page →

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Dominica0 Puerto Rico2 113%4.60X26%3.40261%1.73 0.0–0.5xG NGNot both teams to score 61%@1.91 ✓
FT Trinidad and Tobago1 Dominican Republic2 142%2.40X21%3.50237%2.50 2.6–2.4xG GGBoth teams to score 70%@1.60 ✓
FT Guadeloupe2 Barbados2 163%1.85X21%3.20216%4.00 1.8–0.7xG 1XGuadeloupe or draw 84%@1.20 ✓
FT Cuba2 Bonaire0 173%1.15X15%7.00211%17.00 2.3–0.7xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.45 ✗
FT Suriname2 Martinique1 162%1.57X22%3.60216%5.50 2.9–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.95 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Curaçao vs Nicaragua?

Our pick is Curaçao to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Curaçao vs Nicaragua?

On our numbers Curaçao have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Nicaragua 10%.

How many goals will there be in Curaçao vs Nicaragua?

We expect about 6.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Curaçao vs Nicaragua?

Our predicted score is Curaçao 4–1 Nicaragua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.0 goals in total.

When is Curaçao vs Nicaragua?

Curaçao vs Nicaragua (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Ergilio Hato Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.