Guadeloupe v Barbados Prediction & Expected Goals (28 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGuadeloupe to win ✗63% · @1.85

Double chanceGuadeloupe or draw ✓84% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.83

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66

Guadeloupe vs Barbados: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Monday 28 September: Guadeloupe v Barbados in the CONCACAF Nations League, played at Darren Sammy National Cricket Stadium.

Current form

Barbados, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over St. Lucia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guadeloupe 1.8 xG, Barbados 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Guadeloupe 63%, draw 21%, Barbados 16%.
Lower-risk option: Guadeloupe or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Guadeloupe to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Guadeloupe or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadeloupe 1–0 Barbados. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guadeloupe63%fair 1.58 · @1.85

Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.20

Barbados16%fair 6.37 · @4.00

2.50Expected goals

1.77Guadeloupe xG

0.73Barbados xG

50%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%

2–013%

1–111%

2–19%

0–08%

3–08%

From our goals model: Guadeloupe 1.8 – 0.7 Barbados expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Guadeloupe to win ✗	63%	1.58	1.85 ▲
Double chance	Guadeloupe or draw ✓	84%	1.19	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	50%	1.99	1.83
Draw no bet	Guadeloupe (draw no bet)	80%	1.25	–
Asian handicap	Guadeloupe -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.84	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	Guadeloupe to score first	65%	1.54	–
Half-time result	Guadeloupe ahead at half-time ✗	44%	2.28	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Guadeloupe / FT Guadeloupe ✗	39%	2.56	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.66	–

Guadeloupe – last 1

25 Sep

@ Bermuda

2–1

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Barbados – last 3

WLL

26 Sep	vs St. Lucia	2–0	W
29 Mar	vs St. Vincent Grenadines	2–3	L
26 Mar	@ Saint Martin	1–3	L

1.7Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guadeloupe vs Barbados?

Our pick is Guadeloupe or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Guadeloupe vs Barbados?

On our numbers Guadeloupe have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barbados 16%.

How many goals will there be in Guadeloupe vs Barbados?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guadeloupe vs Barbados?

Our predicted score is Guadeloupe 1–0 Barbados, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Guadeloupe vs Barbados?

Guadeloupe vs Barbados (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Darren Sammy National Cricket Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Guadeloupe v Barbados: numbers & prediction

Guadeloupe

Barbados

Guadeloupe or draw