Trinidad and Tobago v Dominican Republic Prediction & Expected Goals (28 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTrinidad and Tobago to win ✗42% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.60

GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 3–2 ✗6% · fair 17.80

Trinidad and Tobago vs Dominican Republic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 28 September the CONCACAF Nations League brings Trinidad and Tobago against Dominican Republic at Hasely Crawford Stadium. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT.

Current form

Trinidad and Tobago, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Haiti, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.

Dominican Republic, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Nicaragua, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours Dominican Republic, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for Trinidad and Tobago.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Trinidad and Tobago 2.6 xG, Dominican Republic 2.4 xG – a total near 5.0. That is an open game on paper: 88% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Trinidad and Tobago 42%, draw 21%, Dominican Republic 37%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.42, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trinidad and Tobago 2–2 Dominican Republic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Trinidad and Tobago42%fair 2.39 · @2.40

Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.50

Dominican Republic37%fair 2.69 · @2.50

5.00Expected goals

2.57Trinidad and Tobago xG

2.43Dominican Republic xG

70%Both score

88%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–27%

3–26%

2–15%

2–35%

1–25%

3–15%

From our goals model: Trinidad and Tobago 2.6 – 2.4 Dominican Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Trinidad and Tobago to win ✗	42%	2.39	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.29
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	70%	1.42	1.60 ▲
Draw no bet	Trinidad and Tobago (draw no bet) ✗	53%	1.89	–
Asian handicap	Dominican Republic +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	68%	1.46	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	96%	1.04	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	73%	1.36	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Over 4.5 goals ✗	56%	1.79	–
First team to score	Trinidad and Tobago to score first	51%	1.96	–
Half-time result	Trinidad and Tobago ahead at half-time ✗	37%	2.71	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Trinidad and Tobago / FT Trinidad and Tobago ✗	27%	3.68	–
Correct score	Correct score 3–2 ✗	6%	17.80	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Trinidad and Tobago to win ✗

42%

2.39

2.40

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

79%

1.27

1.29

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

70%

1.42

1.60 ▲

Draw no bet

Trinidad and Tobago (draw no bet) ✗

53%

1.89

–

Asian handicap

Dominican Republic +1 (Asian handicap) ✓

68%

1.46

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

96%

1.04

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✓

88%

1.14

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Over 3.5 goals ✗

73%

1.36

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Over 4.5 goals ✗

56%

1.79

–

First team to score

Trinidad and Tobago to score first

51%

1.96

–

Half-time result

Trinidad and Tobago ahead at half-time ✗

37%

2.71

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Trinidad and Tobago / FT Trinidad and Tobago ✗

27%

3.68

–

Correct score

Correct score 3–2 ✗

17.80

–

25 Sep	@ Haiti	2–3	L
26 Jul	@ Louisville City	0–1	L
9 Jun	@ Russia	0–3	L
31 May	@ South Korea	0–5	L
27 Mar	@ Venezuela	1–4	L

25 Sep	vs Nicaragua	3–2	W
4 Jun	@ Panama	2–4	L
27 Mar	vs El Salvador	2–2	D

Trinidad and Tobago v Dominican Republic: numbers & prediction