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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jamaica v Honduras: numbers & prediction

CONCACAF Nations League · North & Central America · Independence Park

Jamaica

WWDW
0–1
FT

Honduras

LLD
Jamaica 60%Draw 26%Honduras 14% Expected goals 3.20 – 1.80
86%
Betarazi pick

Jamaica or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Jamaica to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultJamaica to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceJamaica or draw ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 15.08

Jamaica vs Honduras: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Jamaica welcome Honduras to Independence Park for a CONCACAF Nations League fixture on Tuesday 29 September (01:00 WAT).

Current form

Jamaica, last 4: WWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Guatemala, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Honduras, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Suriname, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Jamaica, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.3 for Honduras.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jamaica 3.2 xG, Honduras 1.8 xG – a total near 5.0. That is an open game on paper: 88% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jamaica 60%, draw 26%, Honduras 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Jamaica or draw (86%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Jamaica to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Jamaica or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jamaica 3–1 Honduras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jamaica60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.40
Honduras14%fair 7.21 · @3.90
5.00Expected goals
3.20Jamaica xG
1.80Honduras xG
57%Both score
88%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–17%
2–16%
3–26%
2–26%
4–15%
4–25%

From our goals model: Jamaica 3.2 – 1.8 Honduras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJamaica to win ✗60%1.661.85 ▲
Double chanceJamaica or draw ✗86%1.161.22 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.85 ▲
Draw no betJamaica (draw no bet) ✗81%1.23–
Asian handicapJamaica -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗96%1.04–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
First team to scoreJamaica to score first ✗64%1.57–
Half-time resultJamaica ahead at half-time ✗51%1.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jamaica / FT Jamaica ✗45%2.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7%15.08–

Recent results

Jamaica – last 4

WWDW
26 Sepvs Guatemala3–2W
27 Mayvs India2–0W
31 Mar@ Congo DR0–0D
27 Mar@ New Caledonia1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Honduras – last 3

LLD
26 Sepvs Suriname2–3L
7 Jun@ Argentina0–2L
31 Mar@ Peru2–2D
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Jamaica and Honduras.

Jamaica vs Honduras head-to-head page →

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

League hub
FT St. Kitts and Nevis3 Grenada0 131%2.88X21%3.60248%2.15 1.3–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.50 ✗
FT St. Lucia5 Bermuda2 135%3.10X23%3.25243%2.15 1.2–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.55 ✓
FT Guatemala6 El Salvador0 143%2.00X23%3.25234%3.50 2.4–2.1xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.75 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jamaica vs Honduras?

Our pick is Jamaica or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Jamaica vs Honduras?

On our numbers Jamaica have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Honduras 14%.

How many goals will there be in Jamaica vs Honduras?

We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jamaica vs Honduras?

Our predicted score is Jamaica 3–1 Honduras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.

When is Jamaica vs Honduras?

Jamaica vs Honduras (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Independence Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.