Guatemala vs El Salvador: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 29 September the CONCACAF Nations League brings Guatemala against El Salvador at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT.
Current form
Guatemala, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Jamaica, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
El Salvador, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Martinique, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours El Salvador, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.0 for Guatemala.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guatemala 2.4 xG, El Salvador 2.1 xG – a total near 4.5. That is an open game on paper: 83% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guatemala 43%, draw 23%, El Salvador 34%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.45, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guatemala 2–2 El Salvador. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guatemala43%fair 2.32 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.25
El Salvador34%fair 2.91 · @3.50
4.50Expected goals
2.37Guatemala xG
2.13El Salvador xG
69%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–27%
2–17%
1–26%
1–16%
3–26%
3–15%
From our goals model: Guatemala 2.4 – 2.1 El Salvador expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guatemala to win✓
43%
2.32
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.45
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Guatemala (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
El Salvador +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
First team to score
Guatemala to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Guatemala ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guatemala / FT Guatemala✓
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
15.04
–
Recent results
Guatemala – last 4
LLLL
26 Sep
@ Jamaica
2–3
L
7 Jun
@ Ecuador
0–3
L
5 Jun
@ Czech Republic
1–3
L
27 Mar
@ Algeria
0–7
L
0.8Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
El Salvador – last 5
WDLWD
26 Sep
vs Martinique
3–1
W
6 Jun
@ Qatar
0–0
D
4 Jun
@ South Korea
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Martinique
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Dominican Republic
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guatemala and El Salvador.
What is the prediction for Guatemala vs El Salvador?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Guatemala vs El Salvador?
On our numbers Guatemala have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and El Salvador 34%.
How many goals will there be in Guatemala vs El Salvador?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guatemala vs El Salvador?
Our predicted score is Guatemala 2–2 El Salvador, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Guatemala vs El Salvador?
Guatemala vs El Salvador (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Jamaica0
Honduras1
St. Kitts and Nevis3
Grenada0
St. Lucia5
Bermuda2