St. Lucia 35%Draw 23%Bermuda 43%Expected goals 1.17 – 1.33
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
1
Value bet: St. Lucia to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBermuda to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.74
St. Lucia vs Bermuda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Tuesday 29 September: St. Lucia v Bermuda in the CONCACAF Nations League, played at Darren Sammy National Cricket Stadium.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St. Lucia 1.2 xG, Bermuda 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St. Lucia 35%, draw 23%, Bermuda 43%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: St. Lucia to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Lucia 1–1 Bermuda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St. Lucia35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Bermuda43%fair 2.34 · @2.15
2.50Expected goals
1.17St. Lucia xG
1.33Bermuda xG
61%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: St. Lucia 1.2 – 1.3 Bermuda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bermuda to win✗
43%
2.34
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Draw no bet
Bermuda (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
St. Lucia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Bermuda to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bermuda / FT Bermuda✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
St. Lucia – last 2
LL
26 Sep
@ Barbados
0–2
L
27 Mar
@ Azerbaijan
1–6
L
0.5Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bermuda – last 2
LL
25 Sep
vs Guadeloupe
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ Cape Verde Islands
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Lucia and Bermuda.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win St. Lucia vs Bermuda?
On our numbers St. Lucia have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bermuda 43%.
How many goals will there be in St. Lucia vs Bermuda?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Lucia vs Bermuda?
Our predicted score is St. Lucia 1–1 Bermuda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is St. Lucia vs Bermuda?
St. Lucia vs Bermuda (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Darren Sammy National Cricket Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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