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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

British Virgin Islands v Montserrat: numbers & prediction

CONCACAF Nations League · North & Central America · TCIFA National Academy

British Virgin Islands

LLLD
0–2
FT

Montserrat

WW
British Virgin Islands 10%Draw 19%Montserrat 70% Expected goals 0.66 – 2.09
70%
Betarazi pick

Montserrat to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultMontserrat to win ✓70% · @1.20
Double chanceMontserrat or draw ✓90% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗10% · fair 10.33

British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Montserrat travel to face British Virgin Islands on Thursday 1 October in the CONCACAF Nations League, with TCIFA National Academy the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Current form

British Virgin Islands, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Turks and Caicos Islands, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Sep 2026) it ended Montserrat 3–0 British Virgin Islands.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give British Virgin Islands 0.7 xG, Montserrat 2.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – British Virgin Islands 10%, draw 19%, Montserrat 70%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Montserrat to win (70%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: British Virgin Islands 0–2 Montserrat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

British Virgin Islands10%fair 9.55 · @15.00
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @5.50
Montserrat70%fair 1.42 · @1.20
2.75Expected goals
0.66British Virgin Islands xG
2.09Montserrat xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–214%
0–113%
0–310%
1–29%
1–19%
1–36%

From our goals model: British Virgin Islands 0.7 – 2.1 Montserrat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMontserrat to win ✓70%1.421.20
Double chanceMontserrat or draw ✓90%1.121.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%2.001.62
Draw no betMontserrat (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapMontserrat -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreMontserrat to score first ✓71%1.41–
Half-time resultMontserrat ahead at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Montserrat / FT Montserrat ✓46%2.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗10%10.33–

Recent results

British Virgin Islands – last 4

LLLD
29 Sepvs Turks and Caicos Islands0–3L
26 Sep@ Montserrat0–3L
3 Jun@ Gibraltar0–4L
27 Mar@ Cayman Islands1–1D
0.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Montserrat – last 2

WW
26 Sepvs British Virgin Islands3–0W
23 Sep@ Turks and Caicos Islands2–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Sep 2026Montserrat v British Virgin Islands3–0
British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat head-to-head page →

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

League hub
FT US Virgin Islands0 Saint Martin5 112%9.50X20%5.00268%1.29 1.2–2.8xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.75 ✗
FT Dominica1 Guyana5 19%12.00X17%5.00274%1.25 0.1–1.2xG 2Guyana to win 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Curaçao1 Trinidad and Tobago0 165%1.73X20%3.40215%4.60 3.5–2.0xG 1Curaçao to win 65%@1.73 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat?

Our pick is Montserrat to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat?

On our numbers British Virgin Islands have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Montserrat 70%.

How many goals will there be in British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat?

Our predicted score is British Virgin Islands 0–2 Montserrat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat?

British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at TCIFA National Academy.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.