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Curaçao v Trinidad and Tobago: numbers & prediction

CONCACAF Nations League · North & Central America · Ergilio Hato Stadium
1–0
FT
Curaçao 65%Draw 20%Trinidad and Tobago 15% Expected goals 3.54 – 1.96
65%
Betarazi pick

Curaçao to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.73Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCuraçao to win ✓65% · @1.73
Double chanceCuraçao or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.91
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗6% · fair 16.86

Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Curaçao welcome Trinidad and Tobago to Ergilio Hato Stadium for a CONCACAF Nations League fixture on Thursday 1 October (23:00 WAT).

Current form

Curaçao, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Nicaragua, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Trinidad and Tobago, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dominican Republic, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 5 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Curaçao, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.0 for Trinidad and Tobago.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Curaçao 3.5 xG, Trinidad and Tobago 2.0 xG – a total near 5.5. That is an open game on paper: 91% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Curaçao 65%, draw 20%, Trinidad and Tobago 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Curaçao or draw (85%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Curaçao to win (65%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Curaçao 3–1 Trinidad and Tobago. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Curaçao65%fair 1.55 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.40
Trinidad and Tobago15%fair 6.65 · @4.60
5.50Expected goals
3.54Curaçao xG
1.96Trinidad and Tobago xG
63%Both score
91%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–16%
3–26%
4–15%
4–25%
2–15%
2–25%

From our goals model: Curaçao 3.5 – 2.0 Trinidad and Tobago expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCuraçao to win ✓65%1.551.73 ▲
Double chanceCuraçao or draw ✓85%1.181.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.581.91 ▲
Draw no betCuraçao (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapCuraçao -1 (Asian handicap)61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗97%1.03–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗91%1.10–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
First team to scoreCuraçao to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultCuraçao ahead at half-time ✗54%1.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Curaçao / FT Curaçao ✗47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗6%16.86–

Recent results

Curaçao – last 6

WWLDLW
28 Sepvs Nicaragua6–1W
25 Sep@ Costa Rica4–3W
25 Junvs Ivory Coast0–2L
21 Jun@ Ecuador0–0D
14 Jun@ Germany1–7L
7 Junvs Aruba4–0W
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Trinidad and Tobago – last 6

LLLLLL
28 Sepvs Dominican Republic1–2L
25 Sep@ Haiti2–3L
26 Jul@ Louisville City0–1L
9 Jun@ Russia0–3L
31 May@ South Korea0–5L
27 Mar@ Venezuela1–4L
0.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Curaçao and Trinidad and Tobago.

Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago head-to-head page →

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago?

Our pick is Curaçao to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago?

On our numbers Curaçao have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Trinidad and Tobago 15%.

How many goals will there be in Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago?

We expect about 5.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago?

Our predicted score is Curaçao 3–1 Trinidad and Tobago, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.5 goals in total.

When is Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago?

Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Ergilio Hato Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.