US Virgin Islands 12%Draw 20%Saint Martin 68%Expected goals 1.21 – 2.79
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultSaint Martin to win ✓68% · @1.29
Double chanceSaint Martin or draw ✓88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.60
US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 1 October the CONCACAF Nations League brings US Virgin Islands against Saint Martin at Bethlehem Soccer Stadium. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT.
Current form
US Virgin Islands, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Bahamas, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately.
Saint Martin, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to US Virgin Islands, at home. The attack is flying at 3.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours US Virgin Islands, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.3 for Saint Martin.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Sep 2026) it ended Saint Martin 0–2 US Virgin Islands.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give US Virgin Islands 1.2 xG, Saint Martin 2.8 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – US Virgin Islands 12%, draw 20%, Saint Martin 68%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: US Virgin Islands 1–2 Saint Martin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
US Virgin Islands12%fair 8.67 · @9.50
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @5.00
Saint Martin68%fair 1.47 · @1.29
4.00Expected goals
1.21US Virgin Islands xG
2.79Saint Martin xG
64%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
0–37%
1–16%
1–46%
From our goals model: US Virgin Islands 1.2 – 2.8 Saint Martin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin?
On our numbers US Virgin Islands have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Saint Martin 68%.
How many goals will there be in US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin?
Our predicted score is US Virgin Islands 1–2 Saint Martin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin?
US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Bethlehem Soccer Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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