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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bermuda v Barbados: numbers & prediction

CONCACAF Nations League · North & Central America · BFA Technical Centre

Bermuda

LLLL
1–2
FT

Barbados

WDWLL
Bermuda 11%Draw 19%Barbados 70% Expected goals 1.30 – 3.03
70%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultBarbados to win ✓70% · @1.40
Double chanceBarbados or draw ✓89% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.59

Bermuda vs Barbados: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:00 WAT, Tuesday 6 October: Bermuda v Barbados in the CONCACAF Nations League, played at BFA Technical Centre.

Current form

Bermuda, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Barbados, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.5 conceded per game.

Barbados, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Bermuda, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Barbados, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.0 for Bermuda.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Oct 2026) it ended Barbados 4–1 Bermuda.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bermuda 1.3 xG, Barbados 3.0 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 81% and GG at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bermuda 11%, draw 19%, Barbados 70%.
  • Lower-risk option: Barbados or draw (89%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bermuda 1–3 Barbados. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bermuda11%fair 9.34 · @5.50
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @4.80
Barbados70%fair 1.43 · @1.40
4.33Expected goals
1.30Bermuda xG
3.03Barbados xG
70%Both score
81%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–38%
1–28%
0–36%
0–26%
1–46%
1–15%

From our goals model: Bermuda 1.3 – 3.0 Barbados expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarbados to win ✓70%1.431.40
Double chanceBarbados or draw ✓89%1.121.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓70%1.431.40
Draw no betBarbados (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapBarbados -1 (Asian handicap)66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓56%1.77–
First team to scoreBarbados to score first69%1.45–
Half-time resultBarbados ahead at half-time ✗55%1.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barbados / FT Barbados ✗50%1.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8%12.59–

Recent results

Bermuda – last 4

LLLL
3 Oct@ Barbados1–4L
29 Sep@ St. Lucia2–5L
25 Sepvs Guadeloupe1–2L
6 Jun@ Cape Verde Islands0–3L
1.0Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Barbados – last 5

WDWLL
3 Octvs Bermuda4–1W
28 Sep@ Guadeloupe2–2D
26 Sepvs St. Lucia2–0W
29 Marvs St. Vincent Grenadines2–3L
26 Mar@ Saint Martin1–3L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Oct 2026Barbados v Bermuda4–1
Bermuda vs Barbados head-to-head page →

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Grenada1 Bonaire4 161%1.50X21%4.20219%5.00 2.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.57 ✓
FT Guatemala1 Suriname0 159%1.85X22%3.40219%3.75 2.1–1.1xG 1XGuatemala or draw 81%@1.25 ✓
FT Honduras1 Jamaica1 140%2.05X24%3.00236%3.60 1.5–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.91 ✓
FT St. Vincent Grenadines4 Sint Maarten0 167%1.57X19%4.00215%5.00 2.1–0.9xG 1St. Vincent Grenadines to win 67%@1.57 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bermuda vs Barbados?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Bermuda vs Barbados?

On our numbers Bermuda have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Barbados 70%.

How many goals will there be in Bermuda vs Barbados?

We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bermuda vs Barbados?

Our predicted score is Bermuda 1–3 Barbados, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.

When is Bermuda vs Barbados?

Bermuda vs Barbados (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at BFA Technical Centre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.