Value bet: Jamaica to win @ 3.60 – our chance 36% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHonduras to win ✗40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Honduras vs Jamaica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Honduras welcome Jamaica to Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino for a CONCACAF Nations League fixture on Tuesday 6 October (03:00 WAT).
Current form
Honduras, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Martinique, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Jamaica, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over El Salvador, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Jamaica, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Honduras.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Sep 2026) it ended Jamaica 0–1 Honduras.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Honduras 1.5 xG, Jamaica 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Honduras 40%, draw 24%, Jamaica 36%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Jamaica to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.83, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Honduras 1–1 Jamaica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Honduras40%fair 2.48 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Jamaica36%fair 2.81 · @3.60
2.83Expected goals
1.47Honduras xG
1.36Jamaica xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Honduras 1.5 – 1.4 Jamaica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Honduras vs Jamaica?
On our numbers Honduras have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Jamaica 36%.
How many goals will there be in Honduras vs Jamaica?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Honduras vs Jamaica?
Our predicted score is Honduras 1–1 Jamaica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Honduras vs Jamaica?
Honduras vs Jamaica (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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