Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Guatemala to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGuatemala to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceGuatemala or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Guatemala vs Suriname: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Tuesday 6 October: Guatemala v Suriname in the CONCACAF Nations League, played at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Current form
Guatemala, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Suriname, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Suriname, last 4: DWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Guatemala, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Suriname, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Guatemala.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Oct 2026) it ended Suriname 0–0 Guatemala.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guatemala 2.1 xG, Suriname 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guatemala 59%, draw 22%, Suriname 19%.
Lower-risk option: Guatemala or draw (81%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Guatemala to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Guatemala or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guatemala 2–1 Suriname. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guatemala59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.40
Suriname19%fair 5.22 · @3.75
3.17Expected goals
2.06Guatemala xG
1.11Suriname xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Guatemala 2.1 – 1.1 Suriname expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Guatemala or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Guatemala vs Suriname?
On our numbers Guatemala have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Suriname 19%.
How many goals will there be in Guatemala vs Suriname?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guatemala vs Suriname?
Our predicted score is Guatemala 2–1 Suriname, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Guatemala vs Suriname?
Guatemala vs Suriname (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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