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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sunderland v Brentford: numbers & prediction

League Cup · England · Stadium of Light

Sunderland

DDLWL
3–2
FT

Brentford

DLDWW
Sunderland 27%Draw 22%Brentford 51% Expected goals 1.54 – 2.13
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultBrentford to win ✗51% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.23

Sunderland vs Brentford: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 28 October the League Cup brings Sunderland against Brentford at Stadium of Light. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT.

Current form

Sunderland, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Leeds, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Brentford, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hull City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Brentford, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Sunderland.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Sep 2026) it ended Brentford 1–1 Sunderland.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sunderland 1.5 xG, Brentford 2.1 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sunderland 27%, draw 22%, Brentford 51%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sunderland 1–2 Brentford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sunderland27%fair 3.66 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.30
Brentford51%fair 1.97 · @2.05
3.67Expected goals
1.54Sunderland xG
2.13Brentford xG
66%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–18%
2–27%
2–16%
1–36%
0–26%

From our goals model: Sunderland 1.5 – 2.1 Brentford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBrentford to win ✗51%1.972.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.521.62 ▲
Draw no betBrentford (draw no bet) ✗65%1.54–
Asian handicapSunderland +1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗50%2.00–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗69%1.44–
First team to scoreBrentford to score first57%1.77–
Half-time resultBrentford ahead at half-time ✗40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Brentford / FT Brentford ✗32%3.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.23–

Recent results

Sunderland – last 6

DDLWLL
25 Octvs Leeds0–0D
22 Oct@ Lech Poznan1–1D
18 Oct@ Bournemouth0–2L
15 Oct@ Torreense2–1W
10 Octvs Brighton0–2L
20 Sep@ Manchester City3–5L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Brentford – last 6

DLDWWD
25 Oct@ Hull City1–1D
17 Octvs Liverpool1–2L
10 Oct@ Aston Villa2–2D
18 Sepvs Chelsea3–0W
15 Sep@ Reading2–1W
12 Sep@ Bournemouth2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Sep 2026Brentford v Sunderland1–1
Sunderland vs Brentford head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Manchester City2 Brighton2 Pens 4–3 160%1.67X21%4.00219%4.20 3.1–1.9xG 1XManchester City or draw 81%@1.20 ✓
FT Bournemouth3 Aston Villa0 138%2.25X22%3.30240%2.90 2.0–2.0xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.57 ✗
FT Fulham0 Crystal Palace1 157%1.85X21%3.60222%3.60 2.3–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.57 ✗
FT Liverpool1 Chelsea1 Pens 6–5 143%2.10X21%3.60237%2.90 2.6–2.4xG GGBoth teams to score 72%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sunderland vs Brentford?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Sunderland vs Brentford?

On our numbers Sunderland have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Brentford 51%.

How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Brentford?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Brentford?

Our predicted score is Sunderland 1–2 Brentford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Sunderland vs Brentford?

Sunderland vs Brentford (League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadium of Light.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.