Value bet: Ario Eslamshahr to win @ 2.51 – our chance 42% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArio Eslamshahr to win ✓42% · @2.51
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.43
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.08
Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Naft Bandar Abbas travel to face Ario Eslamshahr on Tuesday 20 October in the Azadegan League – the ball rolls at 14:15 WAT. In the table, Ario Eslamshahr are 7th, upper half, on 13 points after 9 matches; Naft Bandar Abbas are 14th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Ario Eslamshahr, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Be'sat Kermanshah, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Naft Bandar Abbas, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Havadar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ario Eslamshahr, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Naft Bandar Abbas.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Jun 2026) it ended Ario Eslamshahr 1–0 Naft Bandar Abbas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ario Eslamshahr 1.0 xG, Naft Bandar Abbas 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ario Eslamshahr 42%, draw 26%, Naft Bandar Abbas 31%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.43.
Price worth noting: Ario Eslamshahr to win @2.51 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ario Eslamshahr 1–0 Naft Bandar Abbas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ario Eslamshahr42%fair 2.36 · @2.51
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @2.62
Naft Bandar Abbas31%fair 3.19 · @2.92
1.81Expected goals
1.01Ario Eslamshahr xG
0.80Naft Bandar Abbas xG
47%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ario Eslamshahr 1.0 – 0.8 Naft Bandar Abbas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas?
On our numbers Ario Eslamshahr have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Naft Bandar Abbas 31%.
How many goals will there be in Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas?
Our predicted score is Ario Eslamshahr 1–0 Naft Bandar Abbas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas?
Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas (Azadegan League) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.