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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ario Eslamshahr v Naft Bandar Abbas: numbers & prediction

Ario Eslamshahr 42%Draw 26%Naft Bandar Abbas 31% Expected goals 1.01 – 0.80
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Ario Eslamshahr to win @ 2.51 – our chance 42% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultArio Eslamshahr to win ✓42% · @2.51
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.43
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.08

Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Naft Bandar Abbas travel to face Ario Eslamshahr on Tuesday 20 October in the Azadegan League – the ball rolls at 14:15 WAT. In the table, Ario Eslamshahr are 7th, upper half, on 13 points after 9 matches; Naft Bandar Abbas are 14th (in the drop zone) with 7.

Current form

Ario Eslamshahr, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Be'sat Kermanshah, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Naft Bandar Abbas, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Havadar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Ario Eslamshahr, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Naft Bandar Abbas.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Jun 2026) it ended Ario Eslamshahr 1–0 Naft Bandar Abbas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ario Eslamshahr 1.0 xG, Naft Bandar Abbas 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ario Eslamshahr 42%, draw 26%, Naft Bandar Abbas 31%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.43.
  • Price worth noting: Ario Eslamshahr to win @2.51 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ario Eslamshahr 1–0 Naft Bandar Abbas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ario Eslamshahr42%fair 2.36 · @2.51
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @2.62
Naft Bandar Abbas31%fair 3.19 · @2.92
1.81Expected goals
1.01Ario Eslamshahr xG
0.80Naft Bandar Abbas xG
47%Both score
27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Ario Eslamshahr 1.0 – 0.8 Naft Bandar Abbas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArio Eslamshahr to win ✓42%2.362.51 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.891.43
Draw no betArio Eslamshahr (draw no bet) ✓57%1.74–
Asian handicapNaft Bandar Abbas +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓53%1.871.74
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73%1.381.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗88%1.141.04
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreArio Eslamshahr to score first ✓47%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗52%1.91–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗24%4.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.08–

Recent results

Ario Eslamshahr – last 6

WLWWLW
12 Octvs Be'sat Kermanshah2–0W
5 Oct@ Mes Rafsanjan0–1L
28 Sepvs Havadar2–0W
22 Sep@ Naft Gachsaran1–0W
16 Sepvs Naft Masjed Soleyman0–3L
17 Jul@ Nassaji Mazandaran2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Naft Bandar Abbas – last 6

DLDWDL
12 Octvs Havadar1–1D
5 Oct@ Be'sat Kermanshah1–2L
28 Sepvs Naft Gachsaran0–0D
22 Sep@ Naft Masjed Soleyman1–0W
15 Sepvs Shahin Bandar Ameri1–1D
16 Jul@ Saipa0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Jun 2026Ario Eslamshahr v Naft Bandar Abbas1–0
Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas head-to-head page →

Azadegan League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pars Jonoubi JAM9630+821
2Shenavarsazi Qeshm9531+418
3Fard Alborz9522+917
4Mes Rafsanjan9441+516
5Mes Soongoun9432+115
6Shahin Bandar Ameri9342013
7Ario Eslamshahr9414013
8Naft Gachsaran9333+112
9Novin Ahvaz9261+112
10Saipa9333012
11Naft Masjed Soleyman9324+211
12Be'sat Kermanshah9234-29
13Mes Kerman9144-37
14Naft Bandar Abbas9144-87
15Niroye Zamini9117-94
16Havadar9045-94

More Azadegan League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas?

On our numbers Ario Eslamshahr have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Naft Bandar Abbas 31%.

How many goals will there be in Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas?

Our predicted score is Ario Eslamshahr 1–0 Naft Bandar Abbas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas?

Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas (Azadegan League) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.