Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
U1.5
Value bet: Under 1.5 goals @ 2.46 – our chance 52% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultShenavarsazi Qeshm to win ✓64% · @1.48
Double chanceShenavarsazi Qeshm or draw ✓89% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓73% · fair 1.38
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓52% · @2.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓31% · fair 3.21
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Kerman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 20 October the Azadegan League brings Shenavarsazi Qeshm against Mes Kerman. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Shenavarsazi Qeshm are 2nd, among the top four, on 18 points after 9 matches; Mes Kerman are 13th (lower half) with 7.
Current form
Shenavarsazi Qeshm, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Saipa, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Mes Kerman, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mes Rafsanjan, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Shenavarsazi Qeshm, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Mes Kerman.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shenavarsazi Qeshm 1.0 xG, Mes Kerman 0.2 xG – a total near 1.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 88% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shenavarsazi Qeshm 64%, draw 24%, Mes Kerman 11%.
Price worth noting: Under 1.5 goals @2.46 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Shenavarsazi Qeshm to win (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shenavarsazi Qeshm 1–0 Mes Kerman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shenavarsazi Qeshm64%fair 1.56 · @1.48
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.48
Mes Kerman11%fair 8.74 · @6.83
1.20Expected goals
1.04Shenavarsazi Qeshm xG
0.16Mes Kerman xG
27%Both score
12%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–031%
0–030%
2–016%
3–06%
1–15%
0–15%
From our goals model: Shenavarsazi Qeshm 1.0 – 0.2 Mes Kerman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shenavarsazi Qeshm to win✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Double chance
Shenavarsazi Qeshm or draw✓
89%
1.13
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
73%
1.38
–
Draw no bet
Shenavarsazi Qeshm (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Mes Kerman +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
2.46 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
First team to score
Shenavarsazi Qeshm to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shenavarsazi Qeshm / FT Shenavarsazi Qeshm✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
31%
3.21
–
Recent results
Shenavarsazi Qeshm – last 6
WWDDDD
12 Oct
@ Saipa
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Mes Soongoun
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Fard Alborz
0–0
D
21 Sep
vs Novin Ahvaz
2–2
D
15 Sep
@ Pars Jonoubi JAM
0–0
D
11 Jul
@ Ario Eslamshahr
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mes Kerman – last 6
LDDLDL
12 Oct
vs Mes Rafsanjan
0–1
L
5 Oct
@ Niroye Zamini
0–0
D
28 Sep
@ Mes Soongoun
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Saipa
0–1
L
15 Sep
@ Fard Alborz
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Sanat Naft
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shenavarsazi Qeshm and Mes Kerman.
What is the prediction for Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Kerman?
Our pick is Shenavarsazi Qeshm to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Kerman?
On our numbers Shenavarsazi Qeshm have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mes Kerman 11%.
How many goals will there be in Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Kerman?
We expect about 1.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 12% likely and both teams score 27% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Kerman?
Our predicted score is Shenavarsazi Qeshm 1–0 Mes Kerman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.2 goals in total.
When is Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Kerman?
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Kerman (Azadegan League) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
