Value bet: Under 1.5 goals @ 2.09 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMes Rafsanjan to win ✓63% · @1.67
Double chanceMes Rafsanjan or draw ✓85% · fair 1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · @1.36
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗28% · fair 3.61
Mes Rafsanjan vs Niroye Zamini: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:15 WAT, Tuesday 20 October: Mes Rafsanjan v Niroye Zamini in the Azadegan League, played at Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium. In the table, Mes Rafsanjan are 4th, among the top four, on 16 points after 9 matches; Niroye Zamini are 15th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mes Rafsanjan, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mes Kerman, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Niroye Zamini, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mes Soongoun, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Mes Rafsanjan, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Niroye Zamini.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mes Rafsanjan 1.1 xG, Niroye Zamini 0.3 xG – a total near 1.4. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mes Rafsanjan 63%, draw 22%, Niroye Zamini 15%.
GG/NG: NG (60%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Under 1.5 goals @2.09 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (77%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mes Rafsanjan 1–0 Niroye Zamini. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mes Rafsanjan63%fair 1.58 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.03
Niroye Zamini15%fair 6.64 · @5.50
1.39Expected goals
1.11Mes Rafsanjan xG
0.28Niroye Zamini xG
40%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–028%
0–025%
2–015%
1–18%
0–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Mes Rafsanjan 1.1 – 0.3 Niroye Zamini expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mes Rafsanjan to win✓
63%
1.58
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Mes Rafsanjan or draw✓
85%
1.18
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.36
Draw no bet
Mes Rafsanjan (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Niroye Zamini +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
2.09 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.29
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
95%
1.06
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
99%
1.01
–
First team to score
Mes Rafsanjan to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
58%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mes Rafsanjan / FT Mes Rafsanjan✓
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
28%
3.61
–
Recent results
Mes Rafsanjan – last 6
WWWDDL
12 Oct
@ Mes Kerman
1–0
W
5 Oct
vs Ario Eslamshahr
1–0
W
29 Sep
vs Be'sat Kermanshah
1–0
W
22 Sep
@ Mes Soongoun
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Havadar
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Esteghlal FC
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Niroye Zamini – last 6
LDLLWL
12 Oct
@ Mes Soongoun
0–1
L
5 Oct
vs Mes Kerman
0–0
D
28 Sep
@ Saipa
1–2
L
21 Sep
vs Fard Alborz
0–1
L
15 Sep
@ Novin Ahvaz
1–0
W
16 Jul
vs Sanat Naft
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mes Rafsanjan and Niroye Zamini.
What is the prediction for Mes Rafsanjan vs Niroye Zamini?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Mes Rafsanjan vs Niroye Zamini?
On our numbers Mes Rafsanjan have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Niroye Zamini 15%.
How many goals will there be in Mes Rafsanjan vs Niroye Zamini?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mes Rafsanjan vs Niroye Zamini?
Our predicted score is Mes Rafsanjan 1–0 Niroye Zamini, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Mes Rafsanjan vs Niroye Zamini?
Mes Rafsanjan vs Niroye Zamini (Azadegan League) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
