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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Wingate & Finchley v Hemel Hempstead Town: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Wingate & Finchley

DWLDL
2–1
FT

Hemel Hempstead Town

DDDDL
Wingate & Finchley 47%Draw 11%Hemel Hempstead Town 42% Expected goals 0.79 – 0.71
93%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.07 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultWingate & Finchley to win ✓47% · fair 2.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗65% · fair 1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.65

Wingate & Finchley vs Hemel Hempstead Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hemel Hempstead Town travel to face Wingate & Finchley on Tuesday 22 September in the FA Cup – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Wingate & Finchley, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hemel Hempstead Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Hemel Hempstead Town, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Wingate & Finchley, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Wingate & Finchley, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Sep 2026) it ended Hemel Hempstead Town 1–1 Wingate & Finchley.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wingate & Finchley 0.8 xG, Hemel Hempstead Town 0.7 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wingate & Finchley 47%, draw 11%, Hemel Hempstead Town 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (93%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wingate & Finchley 0–0 Hemel Hempstead Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wingate & Finchley47%fair 2.13
Draw11%fair 9.09
Hemel Hempstead Town42%fair 2.38
1.50Expected goals
0.79Wingate & Finchley xG
0.71Hemel Hempstead Town xG
35%Both score
19%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–022%
1–018%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Wingate & Finchley 0.8 – 0.7 Hemel Hempstead Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWingate & Finchley to win ✓47%2.13–
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗65%1.55–
Draw no betWingate & Finchley (draw no bet) ✓53%1.89–
Asian handicapHemel Hempstead Town +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreWingate & Finchley to score first ✓41%2.44–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗57%1.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗29%3.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.65–

Recent results

Wingate & Finchley – last 6

DWLDLW
19 Sep@ Hemel Hempstead Town1–1D
14 Sep@ Aveley4–3W
12 Sep@ Welling United1–4L
5 Sepvs Felixstowe & Walton Utd0–0D
31 Augvs Enfield Town1–4L
29 Aug@ Chatham Town3–2W
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Hemel Hempstead Town – last 6

DDDDLL
19 Sepvs Wingate & Finchley1–1D
12 Sepvs Tonbridge Angels1–1D
8 Sep@ Ebbsfleet United0–0D
5 Sepvs Farnham Town1–1D
31 Aug@ Folkestone Invicta0–2L
29 Augvs Weston-super-Mare1–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Sep 2026Hemel Hempstead Town v Wingate & Finchley1–1
Wingate & Finchley vs Hemel Hempstead Town head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Dagenham & Redbridge3 Waltham Abbey0 169%1.20X20%6.25211%8.00 2.5–1.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 67%@1.40 ✓
FT Gainsborough Trinity3 Leamington0 159%1.80X21%3.50220%3.60 2.1–1.2xG 1XGainsborough Trinity or draw 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Truro City2 Merthyr Town0 162%1.67X22%3.75216%4.00 1.7–0.7xG 1Truro City to win 62%@1.67 ✓
FT Worksop Town5 AFC Telford United2 146%2.00X20%3.60234%3.00 1.8–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 58%@1.85 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wingate & Finchley vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 93% chance.

Who will win Wingate & Finchley vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

On our numbers Wingate & Finchley have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Hemel Hempstead Town 42%.

How many goals will there be in Wingate & Finchley vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wingate & Finchley vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Our predicted score is Wingate & Finchley 0–0 Hemel Hempstead Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Wingate & Finchley vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Wingate & Finchley vs Hemel Hempstead Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.