Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultChabab Mohammédia to win ✗45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.75
Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Chabab Mohammédia v USM Oujda in the Botola 2, played at Stade El Bachir. In the table, Chabab Mohammédia are 16th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 7 matches; USM Oujda are 6th (upper half) with 12.
Current form
Chabab Mohammédia, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Yacoub El Mansour, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
USM Oujda, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mouloudia Oujda, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours USM Oujda, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Chabab Mohammédia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chabab Mohammédia 1.3 xG, USM Oujda 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chabab Mohammédia 45%, draw 25%, USM Oujda 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chabab Mohammédia 1–1 USM Oujda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chabab Mohammédia45%fair 2.24 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80
USM Oujda31%fair 3.28 · @3.25
2.31Expected goals
1.30Chabab Mohammédia xG
1.01USM Oujda xG
47%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Chabab Mohammédia 1.3 – 1.0 USM Oujda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chabab Mohammédia to win✗
45%
2.24
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Chabab Mohammédia (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
USM Oujda +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Chabab Mohammédia to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chabab Mohammédia / FT Chabab Mohammédia✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.75
–
Recent results
Chabab Mohammédia – last 6
LWLLDL
26 Sep
@ Yacoub El Mansour
0–2
L
5 Jul
vs KAC Kenitra
4–3
W
27 Jun
@ Raja Beni Mellal
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Stade Marocain
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Widad Témara
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Chabab Atl. Khenifra
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
USM Oujda – last 6
WWDLWL
27 Sep
vs Mouloudia Oujda
2–1
W
5 Jul
@ Widad Témara
1–0
W
27 Jun
vs Chabab Atl. Khenifra
1–1
D
20 Jun
@ Riadi Salmi
0–2
L
13 Jun
vs Union Sportive Boujaad
1–0
W
6 Jun
@ Mouloudia Oujda
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chabab Mohammédia and USM Oujda.
What is the prediction for Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda?
On our numbers Chabab Mohammédia have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and USM Oujda 31%.
How many goals will there be in Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda?
Our predicted score is Chabab Mohammédia 1–1 USM Oujda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda?
Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda (Botola 2) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade El Bachir.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
