Value bet: KAC Kenitra to win @ 2.40 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKAC Kenitra to win ✗47% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.69
KAC Kenitra vs Yacoub El Mansour: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Yacoub El Mansour travel to face KAC Kenitra on Sunday 4 October in the Botola 2 – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, KAC Kenitra are 8th, upper half, on 9 points after 7 matches; Yacoub El Mansour are 4th (among the top four) with 14.
Current form
KAC Kenitra, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Wydad Fès, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Yacoub El Mansour, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Chabab Mohammédia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Yacoub El Mansour, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for KAC Kenitra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KAC Kenitra 1.1 xG, Yacoub El Mansour 0.7 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KAC Kenitra 47%, draw 25%, Yacoub El Mansour 28%.
Price worth noting: KAC Kenitra to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: KAC Kenitra 1–0 Yacoub El Mansour. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KAC Kenitra47%fair 2.15 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.75
Yacoub El Mansour28%fair 3.53 · @3.00
1.81Expected goals
1.07KAC Kenitra xG
0.74Yacoub El Mansour xG
40%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: KAC Kenitra 1.1 – 0.7 Yacoub El Mansour expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KAC Kenitra to win✗
47%
2.15
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
–
Draw no bet
KAC Kenitra (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Yacoub El Mansour +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
KAC Kenitra to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KAC Kenitra / FT KAC Kenitra✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.69
–
Recent results
KAC Kenitra – last 6
LWDLLL
26 Sep
vs Wydad Fès
0–1
L
22 Jul
vs AS Mansouria
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ AS Mansouria
0–0
D
5 Jul
@ Chabab Mohammédia
3–4
L
27 Jun
vs Riadi Salmi
1–2
L
20 Jun
@ Chabab Atl. Khenifra
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Yacoub El Mansour – last 6
WWDLWW
26 Sep
vs Chabab Mohammédia
2–0
W
5 Jul
@ FUS Rabat
1–0
W
2 Jul
vs Difaa EL Jadida
2–2
D
28 Jun
@ Maghreb Fès
1–2
L
25 Jun
vs Raja Casablanca
2–1
W
21 Jun
@ Olympique Safi
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KAC Kenitra and Yacoub El Mansour.
What is the prediction for KAC Kenitra vs Yacoub El Mansour?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win KAC Kenitra vs Yacoub El Mansour?
On our numbers KAC Kenitra have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Yacoub El Mansour 28%.
How many goals will there be in KAC Kenitra vs Yacoub El Mansour?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KAC Kenitra vs Yacoub El Mansour?
Our predicted score is KAC Kenitra 1–0 Yacoub El Mansour, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is KAC Kenitra vs Yacoub El Mansour?
KAC Kenitra vs Yacoub El Mansour (Botola 2) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
