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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Albion FC v Defensor Sporting: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Estadio Parque Federico Saroldi
3–2
FT
Albion FC 33%Draw 24%Defensor Sporting 43% Expected goals 1.04 – 1.24
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultDefensor Sporting to win ✗43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.21

Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 3 October the Primera División Apertura brings Albion FC against Defensor Sporting at Estadio Parque Federico Saroldi. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Albion FC are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Defensor Sporting are 13th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Albion FC, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Wanderers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Defensor Sporting, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Plaza Colonia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Defensor Sporting, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Albion FC.

Head to head

When they last met (31 Mar 2026) it ended Defensor Sporting 1–1 Albion FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Albion FC 1.0 xG, Defensor Sporting 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Albion FC 33%, draw 24%, Defensor Sporting 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albion FC 1–1 Defensor Sporting. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Albion FC33%fair 3.04 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
Defensor Sporting43%fair 2.33 · @2.40
2.28Expected goals
1.04Albion FC xG
1.24Defensor Sporting xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Albion FC 1.0 – 1.2 Defensor Sporting expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDefensor Sporting to win ✗43%2.332.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.80
Draw no betDefensor Sporting (draw no bet) ✗57%1.76–
Asian handicapAlbion FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
First team to scoreDefensor Sporting to score first ✗49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Defensor Sporting / FT Defensor Sporting ✗23%4.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.21–

Recent results

Albion FC – last 6

LLDLLW
29 Sep@ Wanderers1–2L
20 Sepvs Juventud1–3L
16 Sepvs CA River Plate0–0D
13 Sep@ Penarol1–3L
7 Sepvs Progreso0–1L
3 Sepvs Progreso2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Defensor Sporting – last 6

LWLWDD
30 Sepvs Plaza Colonia0–1L
27 Sepvs Danubio1–0W
20 Sep@ Club Nacional2–3L
13 Sepvs Deportivo Maldonado1–0W
9 Sep@ Cerro Largo1–1D
6 Sep@ Central Espanol1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 Mar 2026Defensor Sporting v Albion FC1–1
Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting?

On our numbers Albion FC have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Defensor Sporting 43%.

How many goals will there be in Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting?

Our predicted score is Albion FC 1–1 Defensor Sporting, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting?

Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Parque Federico Saroldi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.