Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗9% · fair 11.61
Brežice vs Aluminij: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 23 October the Cup brings Brežice against Aluminij. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Brežice, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Krško, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Aluminij, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Olimpija Ljubljana, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brežice 0.8 xG, Aluminij 2.2 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brežice 13%, draw 17%, Aluminij 69%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Aluminij to win (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brežice 0–2 Aluminij. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brežice13%fair 7.42 · @7.00
Draw17%fair 5.73 · @5.00
Aluminij69%fair 1.45 · @1.30
2.98Expected goals
0.81Brežice xG
2.16Aluminij xG
46%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Brežice 0.8 – 2.2 Aluminij expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aluminij to win✗
69%
1.45
1.30
Double chance
Aluminij or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Aluminij (draw no bet)
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Aluminij -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Aluminij to score first
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Aluminij ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aluminij / FT Aluminij✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
9%
11.61
–
Recent results
Brežice – last 6
WDDLLL
18 Oct
vs Krško
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Jesenice
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Primorje
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Slovan Ljubljana
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Rudar
3–4
L
16 Sep
@ Triglav
0–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Aluminij – last 6
LLDWDL
16 Oct
vs Olimpija Ljubljana
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Celje
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Maribor
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Mura
6–1
W
5 Sep
vs Bravo
0–0
D
2 Sep
vs Celje
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brežice and Aluminij.
Our pick is Aluminij to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Brežice vs Aluminij?
On our numbers Brežice have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Aluminij 69%.
How many goals will there be in Brežice vs Aluminij?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brežice vs Aluminij?
Our predicted score is Brežice 0–2 Aluminij, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Brežice vs Aluminij?
Brežice vs Aluminij (Cup) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bistrica4
Bilje3
Tabor Sežana1
Koper0
Triglav1
Nafta1