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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Triglav v Nafta: numbers & prediction

Cup · Slovenia · Stanko Mlakar Stadium

Triglav

WWWDW
1–1
FTPens 4–2

Nafta

DWLWW
Triglav 31%Draw 21%Nafta 48% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.63
55%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultNafta to win ✗48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.70

Triglav vs Nafta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Triglav welcome Nafta to Stanko Mlakar Stadium for a Cup fixture on Friday 23 October (16:30 WAT).

Current form

Triglav, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dekani, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Nafta, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mura, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Triglav, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Nafta.

Head to head

When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended Nafta 1–1 Triglav.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Triglav 1.2 xG, Nafta 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Triglav 31%, draw 21%, Nafta 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Triglav 1–2 Nafta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Triglav31%fair 3.27 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Nafta48%fair 2.07 · @2.00
2.87Expected goals
1.24Triglav xG
1.63Nafta xG
51%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Triglav 1.2 – 1.6 Nafta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNafta to win ✗48%2.072.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.98–
Draw no betNafta (draw no bet)61%1.63–
Asian handicapTriglav +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreNafta to score first54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nafta / FT Nafta ✗28%3.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.70–

Recent results

Triglav – last 6

WWWDWW
16 Octvs Dekani1–0W
11 Oct@ Krško2–0W
4 Octvs Jesenice4–0W
26 Sepvs Primorje1–1D
20 Sepvs Slovan Ljubljana3–0W
16 Sepvs Brežice4–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Nafta – last 6

DWLWWL
17 Oct@ Mura0–0D
11 Octvs Bravo1–0W
19 Sep@ Koper0–2L
11 Sep@ Brinje-Grosuplje2–1W
4 Sepvs Radomlje3–1W
30 Augvs Maribor2–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 May 2026Nafta v Triglav1–1
Triglav vs Nafta head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

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FT Bistrica4 Bilje3 149%2.25X21%3.40230%2.62 1.7–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.70 ✓
FT Tabor Sežana1 Koper0 117%4.75X23%3.75260%1.57 0.9–1.9xG 2Koper to win 60%@1.57 ✗
FT Brežice2 Aluminij2 AET 4–2 113%7.00X17%5.00269%1.30 0.8–2.2xG 2Aluminij to win 69%@1.30 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Triglav vs Nafta?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Triglav vs Nafta?

On our numbers Triglav have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nafta 48%.

How many goals will there be in Triglav vs Nafta?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Triglav vs Nafta?

Our predicted score is Triglav 1–2 Nafta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Triglav vs Nafta?

Triglav vs Nafta (Cup) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stanko Mlakar Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.