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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bistrica v Bilje: numbers & prediction

Cup · Slovenia

Bistrica

WDWLL
4–3
FT

Bilje

WLWLL
Bistrica 49%Draw 21%Bilje 30% Expected goals 1.67 – 1.23
55%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.70Odds
1

Value bet: Bistrica to win @ 2.25 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBistrica to win ✓49% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗4% · fair 23.37

Bistrica vs Bilje: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Friday 23 October: Bistrica v Bilje in the Cup.

Current form

Bistrica, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Primorje, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Bilje, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Krka, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Bilje 1–4 Bistrica. The last 2 head-to-heads: Bistrica 2 wins, Bilje 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bistrica 1.7 xG, Bilje 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bistrica 49%, draw 21%, Bilje 30%.
  • Price worth noting: Bistrica to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 49%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bistrica 2–1 Bilje. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bistrica49%fair 2.03 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Bilje30%fair 3.37 · @2.62
2.89Expected goals
1.67Bistrica xG
1.23Bilje xG
49%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%

From our goals model: Bistrica 1.7 – 1.2 Bilje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBistrica to win ✓49%2.032.25 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.97–
Draw no betBistrica (draw no bet) ✓62%1.60–
Asian handicapBilje +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
First team to scoreBistrica to score first54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bistrica / FT Bistrica ✓29%3.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗4%23.37–

Recent results

Bistrica – last 6

WDWLLW
17 Octvs Primorje1–0W
11 Oct@ Slovan Ljubljana1–1D
4 Octvs Rudar3–1W
26 Sep@ Tabor Sežana0–1L
20 Sep@ Dravinja1–3L
12 Sepvs Brežice2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bilje – last 6

WLWLLW
17 Octvs Krka2–0W
10 Oct@ Beltinci1–5L
6 Octvs Dekani2–0W
27 Sep@ Krško1–3L
20 Sepvs Jesenice0–2L
11 Sep@ Primorje3–2W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Bilje v Bistrica1–4
30 Apr 2026Bistrica v Bilje3–0
Bistrica vs Bilje head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Tabor Sežana1 Koper0 117%4.75X23%3.75260%1.57 0.9–1.9xG 2Koper to win 60%@1.57 ✗
FT Triglav1 Nafta1 Pens 4–2 131%3.10X21%3.40248%2.00 1.2–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.73 ✗
FT Brežice2 Aluminij2 AET 4–2 113%7.00X17%5.00269%1.30 0.8–2.2xG 2Aluminij to win 69%@1.30 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bistrica vs Bilje?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Bistrica vs Bilje?

On our numbers Bistrica have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bilje 30%.

How many goals will there be in Bistrica vs Bilje?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bistrica vs Bilje?

Our predicted score is Bistrica 2–1 Bilje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Bistrica vs Bilje?

Bistrica vs Bilje (Cup) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.