Value bet: AFC Amsterdam to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAFC Amsterdam to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.53
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.73
ACV vs AFC Amsterdam: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Thursday 29 October: ACV v AFC Amsterdam in the KNVB Beker, played at Sportpark ICT Specialist.
Current form
ACV, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dovo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
AFC Amsterdam, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Almere City II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours ACV, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for AFC Amsterdam.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ACV 1.8 xG, AFC Amsterdam 3.0 xG – a total near 4.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 85% and GG at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ACV 22%, draw 17%, AFC Amsterdam 62%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: AFC Amsterdam to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.43, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: ACV 1–2 AFC Amsterdam. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ACV22%fair 4.64 · @3.25
Draw17%fair 6.00 · @3.90
AFC Amsterdam62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
4.75Expected goals
1.79ACV xG
2.96AFC Amsterdam xG
70%Both score
85%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–45%
1–15%
From our goals model: ACV 1.8 – 3.0 AFC Amsterdam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Amsterdam to win✗
62%
1.62
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.43
1.53 ▲
Draw no bet
AFC Amsterdam (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
AFC Amsterdam -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
–
First team to score
AFC Amsterdam to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
AFC Amsterdam ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Amsterdam / FT AFC Amsterdam✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.73
–
Recent results
ACV – last 6
DWDLWW
24 Oct
vs Dovo
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Hoogeveen
4–1
W
10 Oct
vs Purmersteijn
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ VV Scherpenzeel
2–4
L
26 Sep
vs SVZW
4–0
W
22 Sep
vs Hoogeveen
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AFC Amsterdam – last 6
LLWLLW
24 Oct
vs Almere City II
0–1
L
17 Oct
@ Barendrecht
1–4
L
10 Oct
vs Hoek
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Spakenburg
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Katwijk
0–1
L
22 Sep
@ Groene Ster
6–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ACV and AFC Amsterdam.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win ACV vs AFC Amsterdam?
On our numbers ACV have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 17% and AFC Amsterdam 62%.
How many goals will there be in ACV vs AFC Amsterdam?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ACV vs AFC Amsterdam?
Our predicted score is ACV 1–2 AFC Amsterdam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is ACV vs AFC Amsterdam?
ACV vs AFC Amsterdam (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark ICT Specialist.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.