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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Purmersteijn v Gemert: numbers & prediction

KNVB Beker · Netherlands · Sportpark Purmersteijn

Purmersteijn

LWDWL
0–0
FTAET 2–0

Gemert

DWLLW
Purmersteijn 57%Draw 17%Gemert 26% Expected goals 2.00 – 1.25
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Purmersteijn to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPurmersteijn to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Purmersteijn vs Gemert: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Purmersteijn welcome Gemert to Sportpark Purmersteijn for a KNVB Beker fixture on Thursday 29 October (20:00 WAT).

Current form

Purmersteijn, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to TEC, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Gemert, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Roosendaal, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Purmersteijn 2.0 xG, Gemert 1.3 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Purmersteijn 57%, draw 17%, Gemert 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Purmersteijn to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Purmersteijn 1–1 Gemert. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Purmersteijn57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
Draw17%fair 6.02 · @3.50
Gemert26%fair 3.83 · @3.30
3.25Expected goals
2.00Purmersteijn xG
1.25Gemert xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Purmersteijn 2.0 – 1.3 Gemert expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPurmersteijn to win ✗57%1.751.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83%1.201.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.531.50
Draw no betPurmersteijn (draw no bet)69%1.46–
Asian handicapGemert +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scorePurmersteijn to score first ✗59%1.69–
Half-time resultPurmersteijn ahead at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Purmersteijn / FT Purmersteijn ✗34%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

Purmersteijn – last 6

LWDWLW
25 Oct@ TEC2–5L
17 Octvs Sparta Nijkerk3–0W
10 Oct@ ACV1–1D
3 Octvs Harkemase Boys4–2W
26 Sep@ SC Genemuiden0–2L
23 Sep@ Zwaluwen1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Gemert – last 6

DWLLWW
24 Oct@ Roosendaal0–0D
17 Octvs Achilles Veen2–0W
10 Oct@ Noordwijk0–4L
4 Octvs FC Lisse0–2L
27 Sep@ Groene Ster2–1W
23 Sep@ Ijsselmeervogels3–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Purmersteijn and Gemert.

Purmersteijn vs Gemert head-to-head page →

More KNVB Beker predictions

League hub
FT Kozakken Boys0 Utrecht1 111%7.00X22%4.75267%1.36 2.0–4.0xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.55 ✗
FT ACV0 AFC Amsterdam0 AET 1–2 122%3.25X17%3.90262%1.91 1.8–3.0xG GGBoth teams to score 70%@1.53 ✗
FT De Treffers1 Heracles0 111%5.80X21%4.40267%1.44 2Heracles to win 67%@1.44 ✗
FT GVVV Veenendaal3 Noordwijk0 165%1.62X19%3.90216%4.60 1.5–0.5xG 1GVVV Veenendaal to win 65%@1.62 ✓
FT Hoek4 Sparta Nijkerk2 167%1.44X20%4.20213%6.00 2.2–0.8xG 1Hoek to win 67%@1.44 ✓
FT RKAV Volendam3 ROHDA Raalte0 171%1.20X19%6.00210%12.00 4.7–2.3xG GGBoth teams to score 74%@1.62 ✗
FT Groningen0 Emmen2 163%1.44X23%4.33213%6.00 1Groningen to win 63%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Purmersteijn vs Gemert?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Purmersteijn vs Gemert?

On our numbers Purmersteijn have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Gemert 26%.

How many goals will there be in Purmersteijn vs Gemert?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Purmersteijn vs Gemert?

Our predicted score is Purmersteijn 1–1 Gemert, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Purmersteijn vs Gemert?

Purmersteijn vs Gemert (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark Purmersteijn.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.