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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hoek v Sparta Nijkerk: numbers & prediction

KNVB Beker · Netherlands · Sportpark Denoek

Hoek

LDLWL
4–2
FT

Sparta Nijkerk

WLLWW
Hoek 67%Draw 20%Sparta Nijkerk 13% Expected goals 2.16 – 0.84
67%
Betarazi pick

Hoek to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultHoek to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceHoek or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26

Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sparta Nijkerk travel to face Hoek on Thursday 29 October in the KNVB Beker, with Sportpark Denoek the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Hoek, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Quick Boys, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Sparta Nijkerk, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Hoogeveen, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sparta Nijkerk, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Hoek.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hoek 2.2 xG, Sparta Nijkerk 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hoek 67%, draw 20%, Sparta Nijkerk 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Hoek to win (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hoek 2–0 Sparta Nijkerk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hoek67%fair 1.48 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @4.20
Sparta Nijkerk13%fair 7.77 · @6.00
3.00Expected goals
2.16Hoek xG
0.84Sparta Nijkerk xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Hoek 2.2 – 0.8 Sparta Nijkerk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHoek to win ✓67%1.481.44
Double chanceHoek or draw ✓87%1.151.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.62
Draw no betHoek (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapHoek -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.23–
First team to scoreHoek to score first69%1.46–
Half-time resultHoek ahead at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hoek / FT Hoek ✓44%2.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.26–

Recent results

Hoek – last 6

LDLWLD
24 Oct@ Quick Boys1–3L
17 Octvs Kozakken Boys0–0D
10 Oct@ AFC Amsterdam0–2L
3 Octvs De Treffers3–1W
26 Sep@ Sparta Rotterdam II0–3L
19 Sepvs Almere City II2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sparta Nijkerk – last 6

WLLWWW
24 Octvs Hoogeveen2–0W
17 Oct@ Purmersteijn0–3L
10 Octvs VV Scherpenzeel0–2L
3 Oct@ SVZW2–0W
26 Sepvs Staphorst3–2W
23 Sepvs UDI '193–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hoek and Sparta Nijkerk.

Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk head-to-head page →

More KNVB Beker predictions

League hub
FT Kozakken Boys0 Utrecht1 111%7.00X22%4.75267%1.36 2.0–4.0xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.55 ✗
FT ACV0 AFC Amsterdam0 AET 1–2 122%3.25X17%3.90262%1.91 1.8–3.0xG GGBoth teams to score 70%@1.53 ✗
FT De Treffers1 Heracles0 111%5.80X21%4.40267%1.44 2Heracles to win 67%@1.44 ✗
FT GVVV Veenendaal3 Noordwijk0 165%1.62X19%3.90216%4.60 1.5–0.5xG 1GVVV Veenendaal to win 65%@1.62 ✓
FT Purmersteijn0 Gemert0 AET 2–0 157%1.95X17%3.50226%3.30 2.0–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.50 ✗
FT RKAV Volendam3 ROHDA Raalte0 171%1.20X19%6.00210%12.00 4.7–2.3xG GGBoth teams to score 74%@1.62 ✗
FT Groningen0 Emmen2 163%1.44X23%4.33213%6.00 1Groningen to win 63%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk?

Our pick is Hoek to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk?

On our numbers Hoek have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sparta Nijkerk 13%.

How many goals will there be in Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk?

Our predicted score is Hoek 2–0 Sparta Nijkerk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk?

Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark Denoek.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.