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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juticalpa v Atlético Choloma: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas
1–2
FT
Juticalpa 42%Draw 21%Atlético Choloma 37% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.33
54%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultJuticalpa to win ✗42% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗3% · fair 32.46

Juticalpa vs Atlético Choloma: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 18 October the Liga Nacional brings Juticalpa against Atlético Choloma at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas. Kick-off: 00:15 WAT. In the table, Juticalpa are 12th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 14 matches; Atlético Choloma are 9th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

Juticalpa, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Platense FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Atlético Choloma, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CD Motagua, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Atlético Choloma 1–1 Juticalpa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juticalpa 1.4 xG, Atlético Choloma 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juticalpa 42%, draw 21%, Atlético Choloma 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juticalpa 2–1 Atlético Choloma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juticalpa42%fair 2.40 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.40
Atlético Choloma37%fair 2.70 · @2.50
2.75Expected goals
1.43Juticalpa xG
1.33Atlético Choloma xG
49%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: Juticalpa 1.4 – 1.3 Atlético Choloma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuticalpa to win ✗42%2.402.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.98–
Draw no betJuticalpa (draw no bet) ✗53%1.89–
Asian handicapAtlético Choloma +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.871.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreJuticalpa to score first ✗48%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juticalpa / FT Juticalpa ✗23%4.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗3%32.46–

Recent results

Juticalpa – last 6

LWLLWL
9 Oct@ Platense FC1–2L
20 Sepvs CD Marathon3–2W
14 Sep@ Atletico Independiente1–2L
7 Sepvs Génesis0–3L
29 Augvs Lobos Upnfm1–0W
23 Aug@ Estrella Roja2–5L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Atlético Choloma – last 6

LWLDLW
11 Oct@ CD Motagua1–2L
19 Sepvs Estrella Roja2–0W
13 Sep@ Lobos Upnfm0–1L
5 Sepvs Olancho0–0D
31 Aug@ Real Espana1–2L
23 Augvs Platense FC2–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Atlético Choloma v Juticalpa1–1
Juticalpa vs Atlético Choloma head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juticalpa vs Atlético Choloma?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Juticalpa vs Atlético Choloma?

On our numbers Juticalpa have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atlético Choloma 37%.

How many goals will there be in Juticalpa vs Atlético Choloma?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juticalpa vs Atlético Choloma?

Our predicted score is Juticalpa 2–1 Atlético Choloma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Juticalpa vs Atlético Choloma?

Juticalpa vs Atlético Choloma (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.