Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.65
Génesis vs Estrella Roja: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Génesis welcome Estrella Roja to Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova for a Liga Nacional fixture on Sunday 18 October (22:30 WAT).
Current form
Génesis, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CD Olimpia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Estrella Roja, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Espana, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Génesis 1.7 xG, Estrella Roja 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Génesis 57%, draw 21%, Estrella Roja 22%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Génesis to win (57%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.75, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Génesis 1–0 Estrella Roja. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Génesis57%fair 1.75 · @1.83
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Estrella Roja22%fair 4.64 · @3.60
2.54Expected goals
1.65Génesis xG
0.88Estrella Roja xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Génesis 1.7 – 0.9 Estrella Roja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Génesis to win✗
57%
1.75
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Génesis (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Estrella Roja +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Génesis to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Génesis / FT Génesis✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.65
–
Recent results
Génesis – last 6
LDLWLD
10 Oct
vs CD Olimpia
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Olancho
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ CD Motagua
0–1
L
7 Sep
@ Juticalpa
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs CD Marathon
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Atletico Independiente
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Estrella Roja – last 6
LLDLDW
11 Oct
vs Real Espana
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Atlético Choloma
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Platense FC
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ CD Marathon
0–5
L
30 Aug
vs CD Olimpia
2–2
D
23 Aug
vs Juticalpa
5–2
W
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Génesis and Estrella Roja.
What is the prediction for Génesis vs Estrella Roja?
Our pick is Génesis to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Génesis vs Estrella Roja?
On our numbers Génesis have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Estrella Roja 22%.
How many goals will there be in Génesis vs Estrella Roja?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Génesis vs Estrella Roja?
Our predicted score is Génesis 1–0 Estrella Roja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Génesis vs Estrella Roja?
Génesis vs Estrella Roja (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
