Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lobos Upnfm travel to face Atletico Independiente on Sunday 18 October in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Carlos Miranda the venue – the ball rolls at 02:30 WAT. In the table, Atletico Independiente are 10th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 14 matches; Lobos Upnfm are 6th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Atletico Independiente, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Olancho, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Lobos Upnfm, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with CD Marathon, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Independiente 1.0 xG, Lobos Upnfm 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Independiente 37%, draw 23%, Lobos Upnfm 41%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Independiente 1–1 Lobos Upnfm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Independiente37%fair 2.72 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Lobos Upnfm41%fair 2.46 · @2.30
2.17Expected goals
1.05Atletico Independiente xG
1.12Lobos Upnfm xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Atletico Independiente 1.0 – 1.1 Lobos Upnfm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lobos Upnfm to win✓
41%
2.46
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.70
Draw no bet
Lobos Upnfm (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Independiente +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Lobos Upnfm to score first✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lobos Upnfm / FT Lobos Upnfm✓
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.25
–
Recent results
Atletico Independiente – last 6
DLWDLD
12 Oct
@ Olancho
1–1
D
21 Sep
@ CD Olimpia
0–4
L
14 Sep
vs Juticalpa
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs CD Motagua
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Platense FC
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Génesis
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lobos Upnfm – last 6
DWWLLL
11 Oct
vs CD Marathon
0–0
D
18 Sep
@ Platense FC
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Atlético Choloma
1–0
W
7 Sep
@ Real Espana
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Juticalpa
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ CD Motagua
1–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Independiente and Lobos Upnfm.
What is the prediction for Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm?
On our numbers Atletico Independiente have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lobos Upnfm 41%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm?
Our predicted score is Atletico Independiente 1–1 Lobos Upnfm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm?
Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Miranda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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