Sevilla 39%Draw 21%Aston Villa 40%Expected goals 1.45 – 1.45
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sevilla to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAston Villa to win ✓40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.89
Sevilla vs Aston Villa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 2 October the Friendlies Clubs brings Sevilla against Aston Villa. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT.
Current form
Sevilla, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Barcelona, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Aston Villa, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Tottenham, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sevilla 1.4 xG, Aston Villa 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sevilla 39%, draw 21%, Aston Villa 40%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Sevilla to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sevilla 1–1 Aston Villa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sevilla39%fair 2.55 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.40
Aston Villa40%fair 2.53 · @2.10
2.90Expected goals
1.45Sevilla xG
1.45Aston Villa xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sevilla 1.4 – 1.5 Aston Villa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aston Villa to win✓
40%
2.53
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.57
Draw no bet
Aston Villa (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Sevilla +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
First team to score
Aston Villa to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aston Villa / FT Aston Villa✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.89
–
Recent results
Sevilla – last 6
LWWDLW
19 Sep
vs Barcelona
1–3
L
16 Sep
@ Deportivo La Coruna
1–0
W
11 Sep
vs Valencia
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Espanyol
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Atletico Madrid
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Athletic Club
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aston Villa – last 6
WWLWDL
19 Sep
@ Tottenham
3–2
W
16 Sep
@ Coventry
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Nottingham Forest
1–2
L
8 Sep
@ Club Brugge KV
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ Hull City
0–0
D
31 Aug
vs Arsenal
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevilla and Aston Villa.
What is the prediction for Sevilla vs Aston Villa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sevilla vs Aston Villa?
On our numbers Sevilla have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aston Villa 40%.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla vs Aston Villa?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevilla vs Aston Villa?
Our predicted score is Sevilla 1–1 Aston Villa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sevilla vs Aston Villa?
Sevilla vs Aston Villa (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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