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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sarpsborg 08 FF v Valerenga: numbers & prediction

NM Cupen · Norway · Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg 08 FF

WLWWL
3–2
FT

Valerenga

WWLDW
Sarpsborg 08 FF 38%Draw 21%Valerenga 41% Expected goals 2.21 – 2.29
73%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: Valerenga to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultValerenga to win ✗41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓73% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 15.53

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 28 October the NM Cupen brings Sarpsborg 08 FF against Valerenga at Sarpsborg Stadion. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.

Current form

Sarpsborg 08 FF, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Aalesund, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Valerenga, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over BodoGlimt, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–2 Valerenga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sarpsborg 08 FF 2.2 xG, Valerenga 2.3 xG – a total near 4.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 83% and GG at 73%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sarpsborg 08 FF 38%, draw 21%, Valerenga 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (73%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Valerenga to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (73%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.36, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–2 Valerenga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sarpsborg 08 FF38%fair 2.64 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.40
Valerenga41%fair 2.45 · @2.90
4.50Expected goals
2.21Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
2.29Valerenga xG
73%Both score
83%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–27%
1–26%
2–16%
1–16%
2–35%
3–25%

From our goals model: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2.2 – 2.3 Valerenga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultValerenga to win ✗41%2.452.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓73%1.361.40
Draw no betValerenga (draw no bet) ✗52%1.93–
Asian handicapSarpsborg 08 FF +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
First team to scoreValerenga to score first ✗50%1.99–
Half-time resultValerenga ahead at half-time ✗35%2.83–
Half-time / full-timeHT Valerenga / FT Valerenga ✗26%3.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6%15.53–

Recent results

Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 6

WLWWLD
25 Octvs Aalesund2–1W
18 Octvs Rosenborg0–3L
11 Oct@ Aalesund4–2W
30 Sep@ Follo2–0W
18 Sepvs KFUM Oslo1–3L
13 Sep@ Fredrikstad1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Valerenga – last 6

WWLDWL
24 Oct@ BodoGlimt1–0W
18 Octvs Brann3–1W
12 Oct@ KFUM Oslo1–2L
20 Sepvs Fredrikstad1–1D
17 Sep@ Skeid4–1W
12 Sep@ Lillestrom0–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Sep 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF v Valerenga2–2
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga head-to-head page →

More NM Cupen predictions

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FT Tromsdalen Uil1 Lyn3 148%2.06X20%3.80233%2.96 2.2–1.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.42 ✓
FT Asane3 hodd0 137%2.25X21%3.40241%2.70 1.3–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✗
FT Egersund1 Bryne0 159%1.85X18%3.50223%3.40 2.8–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 70%@1.36 ✗
FT Kristiansund BK0 Aalesund2 141%2.10X21%3.40238%2.80 3.6–3.4xG GGBoth teams to score 76%@1.40 ✗
FT Molde4 Stromsgodset1 172%1.20X21%6.0027%9.50 4.6–2.1xG GGBoth teams to score 73%@1.53 ✓
FT Pors Grenland1 Kongsvinger1 AET 3–1 114%4.50X20%3.90266%1.57 2.4–4.3xG GGBoth teams to score 76%@1.40 ✓
FT Ranheim2 Fredrikstad5 124%3.70X16%3.70260%1.75 1.6–2.6xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.40 ✓
FT Rosenborg1 Ham-Kam2 173%1.22X15%5.80212%10.00 3.6–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.73 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?

On our numbers Sarpsborg 08 FF have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Valerenga 41%.

How many goals will there be in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?

We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?

Our predicted score is Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–2 Valerenga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.

When is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga (NM Cupen) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Sarpsborg Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.