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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lillestrom v Sogndal: numbers & prediction

NM Cupen · Norway

Lillestrom

WLWDD
2–1
FT

Sogndal

WWDLL
Lillestrom 73%Draw 16%Sogndal 11% Expected goals 3.35 – 1.40
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultLillestrom to win ✓73% · @1.10
Double chanceLillestrom or draw ✓89% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @2.00
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 13.19

Lillestrom vs Sogndal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lillestrom welcome Sogndal for a NM Cupen fixture on Wednesday 28 October (18:00 WAT).

Current form

Lillestrom, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Brann, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Sogndal, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Kongsvinger, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lillestrom, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Sogndal.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lillestrom 3.3 xG, Sogndal 1.4 xG – a total near 4.8. That is an open game on paper: 85% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lillestrom 73%, draw 16%, Sogndal 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lillestrom 3–1 Sogndal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lillestrom73%fair 1.36 · @1.10
Draw16%fair 6.39 · @9.00
Sogndal11%fair 9.08 · @19.00
4.75Expected goals
3.35Lillestrom xG
1.40Sogndal xG
62%Both score
85%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–18%
2–17%
4–16%
3–05%
3–25%
2–05%

From our goals model: Lillestrom 3.3 – 1.4 Sogndal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLillestrom to win ✓73%1.361.10
Double chanceLillestrom or draw ✓89%1.121.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.612.00 ▲
Draw no betLillestrom (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapLillestrom -1 (Asian handicap)69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✗51%1.94–
First team to scoreLillestrom to score first70%1.43–
Half-time resultLillestrom ahead at half-time ✗58%1.73–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lillestrom / FT Lillestrom ✗53%1.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8%13.19–

Recent results

Lillestrom – last 6

WLWDDW
25 Octvs Brann3–2W
22 Octvs Real Sociedad0–6L
18 Oct@ Sandefjord2–0W
15 Oct@ Sparta Praha1–1D
11 Octvs Molde2–2D
1 Oct@ Bærum5–1W
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sogndal – last 6

WWDLLL
25 Octvs Kongsvinger3–1W
21 Octvs Raufoss2–1W
18 Oct@ Egersund3–3D
14 Octvs ODD Ballklubb0–1L
11 Oct@ Asane1–2L
20 Sep@ Stabaek1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lillestrom and Sogndal.

Lillestrom vs Sogndal head-to-head page →

More NM Cupen predictions

League hub
FT Tromsdalen Uil1 Lyn3 148%2.06X20%3.80233%2.96 2.2–1.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.42 ✓
FT Asane3 hodd0 137%2.25X21%3.40241%2.70 1.3–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✗
FT Egersund1 Bryne0 159%1.85X18%3.50223%3.40 2.8–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 70%@1.36 ✗
FT Kristiansund BK0 Aalesund2 141%2.10X21%3.40238%2.80 3.6–3.4xG GGBoth teams to score 76%@1.40 ✗
FT Molde4 Stromsgodset1 172%1.20X21%6.0027%9.50 4.6–2.1xG GGBoth teams to score 73%@1.53 ✓
FT Pors Grenland1 Kongsvinger1 AET 3–1 114%4.50X20%3.90266%1.57 2.4–4.3xG GGBoth teams to score 76%@1.40 ✓
FT Ranheim2 Fredrikstad5 124%3.70X16%3.70260%1.75 1.6–2.6xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.40 ✓
FT Rosenborg1 Ham-Kam2 173%1.22X15%5.80212%10.00 3.6–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.73 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Sogndal?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Lillestrom vs Sogndal?

On our numbers Lillestrom have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Sogndal 11%.

How many goals will there be in Lillestrom vs Sogndal?

We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Sogndal?

Our predicted score is Lillestrom 3–1 Sogndal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.

When is Lillestrom vs Sogndal?

Lillestrom vs Sogndal (NM Cupen) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.