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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Beroe v Ludogorets: numbers & prediction

Cup · Bulgaria

Beroe

LWWLW
0–3
FT

Ludogorets

WWWWD
Beroe 7%Draw 20%Ludogorets 73% Expected goals 0.65 – 2.35
52%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.93 · bookmaker 2.20 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultLudogorets to win ✓73% · @1.18
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓93% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.16

Beroe vs Ludogorets: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ludogorets travel to face Beroe on Saturday 17 October in the Cup – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Beroe, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Marek, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Ludogorets, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Arda Kardzhali, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Momentum favours Ludogorets, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Beroe.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Ludogorets 2–1 Beroe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Beroe 0.7 xG, Ludogorets 2.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Beroe 7%, draw 20%, Ludogorets 73%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.93, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beroe 1–2 Ludogorets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Beroe7%fair 15.18 · @15.00
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @5.50
Ludogorets73%fair 1.36 · @1.18
3.00Expected goals
0.65Beroe xG
2.35Ludogorets xG
52%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–214%
0–112%
0–311%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%

From our goals model: Beroe 0.7 – 2.3 Ludogorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLudogorets to win ✓73%1.361.18
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓93%1.071.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.932.20 ▲
Draw no betLudogorets (draw no bet) ✓92%1.09–
Asian handicapLudogorets -1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreLudogorets to score first ✓74%1.35–
Half-time resultLudogorets ahead at half-time ✗54%1.84–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets ✗51%1.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.16–

Recent results

Beroe – last 6

LWWLWD
10 Oct@ Marek2–3L
4 Oct@ FK Minyor Pernik2–1W
27 Sepvs Yantra 20191–0W
20 Sep@ Nesebar3–4L
13 Sepvs Sportist Svoge1–0W
6 Sep@ Dobrudzha2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ludogorets – last 6

WWWWDD
12 Octvs Arda Kardzhali5–0W
4 Octvs Cherno More Varna5–0W
14 Sepvs Septemvri Sofia2–1W
6 Sep@ Lokomotiv Sofia2–1W
30 Aug@ Spartak Varna1–1D
22 Augvs Slavia Sofia1–1D
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Ludogorets v Beroe2–1
Beroe vs Ludogorets head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Vihren1 Lokomotiv Sofia2 116%4.00X24%3.40260%1.75 1.8–3.2xG X2Lokomotiv Sofia or draw 84%@1.20 ✓
FT Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1 Septemvri Sofia1 AET 2–1 117%4.40X21%3.30263%1.73 1.4–2.6xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.80 ✓
FT Marek0 Cherno More Varna3 18%9.00X21%4.40271%1.30 1.1–2.9xG 2Cherno More Varna to win 71%@1.30 ✓
FT Rilski Sportist2 Dunav Ruse3 115%4.33X22%3.25263%1.75 1.3–2.7xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.75 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Beroe vs Ludogorets?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.

Who will win Beroe vs Ludogorets?

On our numbers Beroe have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ludogorets 73%.

How many goals will there be in Beroe vs Ludogorets?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Beroe vs Ludogorets?

Our predicted score is Beroe 1–2 Ludogorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Beroe vs Ludogorets?

Beroe vs Ludogorets (Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.